{"id":1191,"date":"2020-05-15T23:37:31","date_gmt":"2020-05-15T23:37:31","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=1191"},"modified":"2023-08-29T17:45:19","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T17:45:19","slug":"china-shooting-itself-foot-if-bans-australian-iron-ore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=1191","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5a01\u80c1\u7981\u6b62\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\uff0c\u90a3\u5c06\u662f\u642c\u8d77\u77f3\u5934\u7838\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u811a"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5bf9\u8fd1\u4e9b\u5929\u6765\u4ee5\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u4e3a\u4eba\u8d28\u7684\u95f4\u63a5\u5a01\u80c1\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u6e05\u7b97\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0:<\/p>\n

\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u5728\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6572\u54cd\u8b66\u949f\uff0c\u6fc0\u6012\u897f\u65b9\u5927\u56fd(\u4ed6\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5bf9\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7834\u574f\u6df1\u611f\u607c\u706b)\uff0c\u5e76\u5f15\u8d77\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u5021\u8bae\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u548c\u4e2d\u4e9a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u94a2\u94c1\u884c\u4e1a\u8fc7\u4e8e\u4f9d\u8d56\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ece\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u663e\u8457\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5c31\u6ca1\u6709\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u80fd\u591f\u586b\u8865\u4efb\u4f55\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u7f3a\u53e3\uff0c\u800c\u5317\u4eac\u65b9\u9762\u52a0\u5feb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u5219\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4eca\u5e74\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u5145\u8db3\u7684\u94a2\u94c1\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5173\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6218\u7565\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Australian Strategic Policy Institute)\u6267\u884c\u4e3b\u4efb\u3001\u524d\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u5b98\u5458Peter Jennings\u4e0a\u5468\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u7535\u53f0\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u662f\u201c\u865a\u5f20\u58f0\u52bf\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8c08\u52302012\u5e74\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u65f6\uff0cJennings\u5c06\u5176\u4e0e\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u76ee\u524d\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u83f2\u4e24\u56fd\u56f4\u7ed5\u5357\u4e2d\u5357\u6d77\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709\u4e89\u8bae\u7684\u6d45\u6ee9\u53d1\u751f\u6d77\u519b\u5bf9\u5cd9\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u7684\u9999\u8549\u51fa\u53e3\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e86\u9650\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u50cf\u4e2d\u56fd\u90a3\u6837\u505c\u6b62\u4ece\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u8d2d\u4e70\u9999\u8549\u662f\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002\u201c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u628a\u76ee\u6807\u5bf9\u51c6\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\uff0c\u4f60\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u7784\u51c6\u4e00\u4e2a20\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2(G20)\u6210\u5458\u56fd\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u5f15\u8d77\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5b83\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\uff0cWashington Post\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u89c2\u70b9\u4e13\u680f\u6587\u7ae0\u7684\u6807\u9898\u662f\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u786c\u624b\u6bb5\u7684\u4f01\u56fe\u5e94\u8be5\u6270\u4e71\u4e16\u754c\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b64\u5355:\u4e16\u754c\u5f00\u59cb\u5173\u6ce8\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

Global Times\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u6325\u821e\u5927\u68d2<\/h2>\n

Global Times\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u8b66\u544a\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u8981\u201c\u8b66\u9192\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u53cd\u601d\u5176\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8054\u7cfb\uff0c\u5e76\u8865\u5145\u79f0\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u201c\u8f7b\u6613\u8f6c\u5411\u201d\u5df4\u897f\u5bfb\u6c42\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d,\u5b83\u4e0d\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b83\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u8bf4\u7684\u662f\u2014\u2014\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u5417?\u9519\u8bef\u4fe1\u606f:\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u4f46\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u5df4\u897f\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f9b\u5e94\u5927\u91cf\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u3001\u7164\u70ad\u6216\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u81ea2020\u5e741\u6708Brumadinho\u94c1\u77ff\u5c3e\u77ff\u6e83\u575d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u51fa\u53e3\u5c31\u4e00\u76f4\u6b65\u5c65\u7ef4\u8270\u3002\u8be5\u77ff\u6e83\u575d\u9020\u6210257\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4Vale\u88ab\u52d2\u4ee4\u5173\u95ed\u6570\u5bb6\u77ff\u5c71\uff0c\u76f4\u81f3\u8fdb\u884c\u68c0\u67e5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u4ecd\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u6062\u590d;\u4eca\u5e743\u6708\uff0cVale\u7684\u51fa\u8d27\u91cf\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u5c111300\u4e07\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5e74\uff0cVale\u7684\u8fd0\u8425\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u6bd4\u5f80\u5e74\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u964d\u96e8(\u5bfc\u81f4\u6d2a\u6c34)\u548c\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u75c5\u6bd2\u5728Para\u5dde\u8fc5\u901f\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u5360Vale\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u4ea7\u91cf\u768423%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u5916:\u4ece\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6d77\u8fd0\u8ddd\u79bb\u8981\u8fdc\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e25\u91cd\u4f9d\u8d56\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3<\/h2>\n

\u8be5\u75c5\u6bd2\u8fd8\u5bf9\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u8fd0\u8f93\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u4f0a\u6717\u548c\u5357\u975e\u7684\u77ff\u5546\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u9075\u5b88\u5168\u56fd\u505c\u4ea7\u89c4\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd62%\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u4f9b\u5e94\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u94a2\u94c1\u4f01\u4e1a\u6b63\u5728\u63d0\u9ad8\u4ea7\u91cf\uff0c\u5468\u4e09\u5927\u8fde\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240(Dalian Commodity Exchange)\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da82.2%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u94a2\u94c1\u548c\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u516c\u53f8Tivlon Technologies\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u4eca\u5e745\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8fd0\u5f80\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u542b\u94c1\u91cf\u5206\u522b\u4e3a62%\u548c65%\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u7684\u73b0\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u90fd\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e865%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6089\u5c3c\u7684UBS\u5206\u6790\u5e08Glyn Lawcock\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5168\u7403\u53ef\u4f9b\u5e94\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u5e02\u573a\u975e\u5e38\u7d27\u5f20\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u7aed\u5c3d\u5168\u529b\u2026\u2026\u4f60\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u627e\u4e0d\u5230\u591a\u4f59\u7684\u5428\uff0c\u201d\u62a5\u9053\u63f4\u5f15\u4ed6\u7684\u8bdd\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5403\u7d27\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5f88\u96be\u4ece\u5176\u5b83\u6765\u6e90\u83b7\u5f97\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

2020\u5e74\u524d4\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u53e3\u4e863.6\u4ebf\u5428\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\uff0c\u8f832019\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u589e\u957f5.8%\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u94a2\u94c1\u4ea7\u91cf\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f1.2%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd72%\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u8fdb\u53e3\u5230\u70bc\u94a2\u5382\u7684\u7194\u7089\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u5b9e\u529b<\/h2>\n

\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u62e5\u6709\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5730\u4e0b\u8d44\u6e90\u80fd\u529b(\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e)\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u5e93\u5b58\u76ee\u524d\u4f4e\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e747\u6708\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d88\u8017\u4e86\u5168\u740357%\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\uff0c\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e\u7684\u662f\u5370\u5ea6(9%)\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u768428\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6(6%)\u3002<\/p>\n

\"Iron<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u534e\u4fa8\u94f6\u884c\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u53ea\u662fOCBS\uff09\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u4ef7\u683c\uff08\u5468\u56db\u6536\u4e8e91\u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\uff0c\u7f5a\u6b3e62%\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u56de\u5347\u5230100\u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u55e4\u4e4b\u4ee5\u9f3b\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u94a2\u94c1\u5236\u9020\u5546\u6700\u7ec8\u5c06\u652f\u4ed8\u8d85\u8fc7100\u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u2014\u2014\u800c\u4e14\u4f1a\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u9ad8\u5174\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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