{"id":2478,"date":"2021-01-06T02:25:19","date_gmt":"2021-01-06T02:25:19","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=2478"},"modified":"2023-08-29T17:48:06","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T17:48:06","slug":"emerging-inflation-underpins-gold-silver-price-rises","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=2478","title":{"rendered":"\u65b0\u5174\u901a\u80c0\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u57282021\u5e74\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u6700\u521d\u6bd4\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u6500\u5347\u4e8650\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8(65\u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8)\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1(\u548c\u767d\u94f6)\u66b4\u6da8\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u610f\u89c1\u5206\u6b67\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5468\u4e00\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u5f00\u76d8\u65f6\uff0c\u94f6\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da80.87\u7f8e\u5143(1.10\u6fb3\u5143)\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5065\u5eb7\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0e\u80a1\u5e02\u8131\u94a9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u5bf9\u518d\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76d8\u7684\u666e\u904d\u62c5\u5fe7\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u603b\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e8e\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8GMO\u8054\u5408\u521b\u59cb\u4ebaJeremy Grantham\u51e0\u4e4e\u603b\u662f\u88ab\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u201c\u4f20\u5947\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u201d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u65b0\u5e74\u4f0a\u59cb\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8b66\u544a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u5199\u9053:\u201c\u81ea2009\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u957f\u671f\u725b\u5e02\u7ec8\u4e8e\u6210\u719f\u4e3a\u6210\u719f\u7684\u53f2\u8bd7\u7ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5b83\u7684\u7279\u70b9\u662f\u6781\u5ea6\u9ad8\u4f30\u3001\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u6da8\u3001\u75af\u72c2\u53d1\u884c\u548c\u6b47\u65af\u5e95\u91cc\u7684\u6295\u673a\u6027\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5c06\u88ab\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e3a\u91d1\u878d\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4e0e1929\u5e74\u548c2000\u5e74\u7684\u5357\u6d77\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u518d\u52a0\u4e0aAlan Greenspan\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u2014\u2014\u201c\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u91d1\u672c\u4f4d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u529e\u6cd5\u4fdd\u62a4\u50a8\u84c4\u4e0d\u88ab\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u6ca1\u6536\u201d\u2014\u2014\u4f60\u5bf9\u91d1\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u65b0\u98d9\u5347\u5c31\u6709\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u6216\u901a\u8d27\u518d\u81a8\u80c0\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u8c08\u8bba\u7684\u8bdd\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5b83\u4eec\u88ab\u51fb\u5012\u5728\u5730\u3001\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bc4\u8bba\u5458\u8ba4\u4e3a\u88c1\u5224\u6b63\u8981\u6570\u201c\u516b\u51fa\u5c40\u201d\u51e0\u5468\u4e4b\u540e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u56de\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5feb\u901f\u7684\u94f6\u8272\u8f6c\u79fb\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u94f6\u4ef7\u9884\u8ba1\u57282021\u5e74\u8fbe\u523040\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8<\/h2>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0e\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u4e00\u76f4\u53d7\u5230\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u4e0a\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u987d\u56fa\u5730\u4fdd\u6301\u57281:70\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u300a\u767d\u94f6\u5ba3\u8a00\u300b(<em>The Silver Manifesto<\/em>)\u7684\u4f5c\u8005<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ViuSaPHNo-I\">David Morgan<\/a>\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u94f6\u4ef7\u5c06\u8fbe\u523040\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8(51\u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8)\u3002\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u767d\u94f6\u7231\u597d\u8005\u6240\u6e34\u671b\u768450\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8(65\u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8)\u7684\u56de\u5f52\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\uff0c\u767d\u94f6\u4e0e\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u91cd\u65b0\u5e73\u8861\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f840\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e0a\u6da845%\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u4ef7\u4eca\u5e74\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6469\u6839\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u7535\u6c60\u677f\u5236\u9020\u5546\u5bf9\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u767d\u94f6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u907f\u98ce\u6e2f\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u57fa\u91d1\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u767d\u94f6\u603b\u91cf\u662f3\u4ebf\u76ce\u53f8\u5b9e\u7269\u767d\u94f6\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u95fb\u6240\u672a\u95fb\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u4ece\u672a\u6709\u8fc7\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u767d\u94f6\u6295\u8d44\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c1:70\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u767d\u94f6\u5e02\u573a\u76841:128\u8981\u597d\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u51e0\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u57282019\u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7a81\u7834\u4e861:90\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f26\u6566Hallgarten &amp; Co\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u548c\u77ff\u4e1a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Christopher Ecclestone\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u5e74\u8be5\u6bd4\u7387\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u91cd\u65b0\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u5bf9\u767d\u94f6\u6709\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u672c\u5468\u8868\u793a:\u201c\u5728\u672a\u676512\u4e2a\u6708\u91cc\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u770b\u5230\u94f6\u4ef7\u5904\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f830\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u91d1\u4ef7\u8d85\u8fc7\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f82500\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u6700\u597d\u7684\u670b\u53cb\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u6f5c\u4f0f<\/h2>\n<p>\u901a\u8d27\u518d\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u5377\u571f\u91cd\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2021\u5e74\u4f0a\u59cb\uff0c\u7ebd\u7ea6\u7684\u503a\u5238\u4ea4\u6613\u5546\u770b\u6da8\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u63a8\u51fa\u5c06\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc5\u901f\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u800c\u901a\u8baf\u793e\u62a5\u9053\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u901a\u8d27\u518d\u81a8\u80c0\u6e38\u620f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5217\u652f\u6566\u58eb\u767b\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8Incrementum\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u786e\u4fe1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u901a\u80c0\u6d6a\u6f6e\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u6307\u51fa\uff0cRichard Nixon 1971\u5e74\u5c06\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u9ec4\u91d1\u8131\u94a9\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u610f\u5916\u540e\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b83\u5c06\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ece\u91d1\u5c5e\u652f\u6301(\u5982\u9ec4\u91d1)\u4f53\u5236\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u503a\u52a1\u652f\u6301\u4f53\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ec5\u57282020\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u4e0e\u5efa\u56fd\u524d200\u5e74\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u76f8\u53bb\u4e0d\u8fdc\u7684\u65b0\u503a\u52a1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece1776\u5e74\u52301976\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5171\u7b79\u96c6\u4e86\u5927\u7ea61\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u53bb\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u503a\u52a1\u5728\u77ed\u77ed30\u5929\u5185\u53c8\u589e\u52a0\u4e868640\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143(1.11\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1980\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4fe1\u8d37\u5e02\u573a\u503a\u52a1\u603b\u989d\u4e3a1.6\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53bb\u5e74\u8fbe\u523080\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143(103.2\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9884\u7b97\u8d64\u5b57\u8fbe\u52303.3\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143(4.2\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143)\uff0c\u662f2019\u5e74\u65b0\u589e\u8d64\u5b57\u7684\u4e09\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u9ec4\u91d1\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u6700\u597d\u7684\u8bc1\u5238\u6295\u8d44<\/h2>\n<p>Incrementum\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u5e7f\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u300a\u6211\u4eec\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u300b(<em>In Gold We Trust<\/em>)\u5e74\u5ea6\u62a5\u544a\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u51b2\u51fb\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4e5f\u5c06\u8ddf\u968f\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u8f68\u8ff9\u8fdb\u5165\u65b0\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u751a\u81f3\u8fde\u519c\u4e1a\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5bf9\u5927\u8c46\u671f\u8d27\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u5c24\u5176\u9ad8\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u589e\u91cf\u8865\u5145\u9053\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5c06\u662f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5468\u671f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u548c\u4e3b\u8981\u4ef7\u503c\u50a8\u5b58\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u4e5f\u770b\u597d\u767d\u94f6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u6700\u8fd1\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u8b66\u62a5\u544a\u79f0:\u201c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5bf9\u51b2\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5c3e\u90e8\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4e2d\u6700\u597d\u7684\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u5728\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u9762\u524d\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u8fd8\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5b83\u7ecf\u53d7\u4f4f\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u5386\u53f2\u4e8b\u4ef6\u548c\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u8003\u9a8c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d27\u5e01\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b58\u5728\u4e86\u6570\u5343\u5e74\uff0c\u662f\u6700\u53e4\u8001\u7684\u6587\u5316\u673a\u6784\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>\u9ec4\u91d1\u77ff\u5de5<\/h2>\n<p>\u4f46\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4ed6\u4eec\u751f\u4ea7\u6216\u52d8\u63a2\u7684\u91d1\u5c5e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u91c7\u77ff\u4e1a\u53c8\u5982\u4f55\u5462?<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u56fe\u8868\u4e2d\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e86\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6709\u4e24\u70b9\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5176\u4e00\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u4ef7\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u7684\u80a1\u4ef7\uff0c\u6709\u597d\u51e0\u5e74\u90fd\u843d\u540e\u4e8e\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u5f88\u5c11\u6709\u5927\u578b\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6216\u673a\u6784\u5bf9\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa90\u5e74\u4ee3\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u51e0\u5bb6\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7ecf\u7eaa\u5546\u5f53\u65f6\u5df2\u7ecf\u89e3\u96c7\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u884c\u4e1a\u611f\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u76f8\u5173\u77e5\u8bc6\u2014\u2014\u5f53\u65f6\u662f\u4e00\u5bb6\u65b0\u5174\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8Fat prophet\u7684\u5b89\u683c\u65af\u2022\u683c\u8fea\u65af(Angus Geddes)\u65e9\u65e9\u5c31\u9884\u6d4b\u9ec4\u91d1\u5c06\u6da8\u81f3\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81000\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u73b0\u5728\u5728\u9ec4\u91d1\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u9762\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u5404\u673a\u6784\u5df2\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u57282020\u5e74\u4e3a\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u63d0\u4f9b\u6295\u8d44\u73b0\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e5f\u662f\u9ec4\u91d1\u80a1\u5f15\u9886\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\uff0c\u94bb\u63a2\u6210\u679c\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u53d1\u73b0\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u4e2a\u80a1\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u201c\u8bef\u5bfc\u201d\u4e86<\/h2>\n<p>\u4f46\u663e\u7136\uff0c\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u65b0\u5174\u8da3\u5e76\u975e\u5230\u5904\u90fd\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8457\u540d\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e13\u5bb6\u9053\u683c\u2022\u51ef\u897f(Doug Casey)\u6700\u8fd1\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u4eec\u4ece\u5927\u5b66\u65f6\u4ee3\u8d77\u5c31\u88ab\u201c\u9519\u8bef\u5730\u6559\u80b2\u201d\u9ec4\u91d1\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u80a1\u751a\u81f3\u90fd\u4e0d\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u673a\u6784\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u8303\u56f4\u4e4b\u5185\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u79f0:\u201c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u91d1\u77ff\u516c\u53f8\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5728\u8d5a\u94b1\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8(\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u4eec)\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u5927\u4e3e\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Casey\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u91d1\u77ff\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u503c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u82f9\u679c\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u50a8\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u6b64\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\uff0c\u521d\u7ea7\u767d\u94f6\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u9650\u5236\u91d1\u5c5e\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u9650\u5236\u6cd5\u5b9a\u8d27\u5e01<\/h2>\n<p>\u60f3\u8981\u5f97\u5230\u4f60\u60f3\u8981\u7684\u6240\u6709\u91d1\u94f6\u662f\u6709\u969c\u788d\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ea7\u91cf\u6700\u8fd1\u53ea\u662f\u5c0f\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e0d\u50cf\u94c1\u77ff\u77f3\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u77ed\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u63d0\u9ad8\u4ea7\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u6ee1\u8db3\u9700\u6c42\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fc7\u5269\u8fd9\u56de\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e25\u91cd\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u526f\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002\u5f53\u8d31\u91d1\u5c5e\u77ff\u5546\u5173\u95ed\u6216\u5728\u8d31\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65f6\u51cf\u4ea7\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u4f9b\u5e94\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u4ee5\u968f\u5fc3\u6240\u6b32\u5730\u521b\u9020\u201c\u8d22\u5bcc\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b63\u5982Incrementum\u56e2\u961f\u6240\u6307\u51fa\u7684\uff0c\u6570\u5b57\u521b\u5efa100\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u6210\u672c\u4e0e\u521b\u5efa10\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u6210\u672c\u662f\u4e00\u6837\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5f00\u91c710\u76ce\u53f8\u9ec4\u91d1\u6216100\u76ce\u53f8\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u6210\u672c\u662f\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u57282021\u5e74\u7ebd\u7ea6\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u5929\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u6700\u521d\u6bd4\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u6500\u5347\u4e8650\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8(65\u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8)\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1(\u548c\u767d\u94f6)\u66b4\u6da8\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u610f\u89c1\u5206\u6b67\u3002 \u5468\u4e00\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u5f00\u76d8\u65f6\uff0c\u94f6\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da80.87\u7f8e\u5143(1.10\u6fb3\u5143)\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5065\u5eb7\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002 \u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0e\u80a1\u5e02\u8131\u94a9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u89c2\u70b9\u3002\u5bf9\u518d\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76d8\u7684\u666e\u904d\u62c5\u5fe7\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u3002 \u603b\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e8e\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8GMO\u8054\u5408\u521b\u59cb\u4ebaJeremy Grantham\u51e0\u4e4e\u603b\u662f\u88ab\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u201c\u4f20\u5947\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u201d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u65b0\u5e74\u4f0a\u59cb\u53d1\u51fa\u4e86\u8b66\u544a\u3002 \u4ed6\u5199\u9053:\u201c\u81ea2009\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u957f\u671f\u725b\u5e02\u7ec8\u4e8e\u6210\u719f\u4e3a\u6210\u719f\u7684\u53f2\u8bd7\u7ea7\u6ce1\u6cab\u3002\u201d \u201c\u5b83\u7684\u7279\u70b9\u662f\u6781\u5ea6\u9ad8\u4f30\u3001\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u6da8\u3001\u75af\u72c2\u53d1\u884c\u548c\u6b47\u65af\u5e95\u91cc\u7684\u6295\u673a\u6027\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u6211\u76f8\u4fe1\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5c06\u88ab\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e3a\u91d1\u878d\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4e0e1929\u5e74\u548c2000\u5e74\u7684\u5357\u6d77\u6ce1\u6cab\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u201d \u518d\u52a0\u4e0aAlan Greenspan\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u2014\u2014\u201c\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u91d1\u672c\u4f4d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u529e\u6cd5\u4fdd\u62a4\u50a8\u84c4\u4e0d\u88ab\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u6ca1\u6536\u201d\u2014\u2014\u4f60\u5bf9\u91d1\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u65b0\u98d9\u5347\u5c31\u6709\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b54\u6848\u3002 \u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u6216\u901a\u8d27\u518d\u81a8\u80c0\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u8c08\u8bba\u7684\u8bdd\u9898\u3002 \u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u53cd\u5f39\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5b83\u4eec\u88ab\u51fb\u5012\u5728\u5730\u3001\u4e00\u4e9b\u8bc4\u8bba\u5458\u8ba4\u4e3a\u88c1\u5224\u6b63\u8981\u6570\u201c\u516b\u51fa\u5c40\u201d\u51e0\u5468\u4e4b\u540e\u3002 \u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u56de\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5feb\u901f\u7684\u94f6\u8272\u8f6c\u79fb\u3002 \u94f6\u4ef7\u9884\u8ba1\u57282021\u5e74\u8fbe\u523040\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8 \u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0e\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u4e00\u76f4\u53d7\u5230\u5173\u6ce8\u3002 \u5982\u4e0a\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u7387\u4ecd\u7136\u987d\u56fa\u5730\u4fdd\u6301\u57281:70\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u300a\u767d\u94f6\u5ba3\u8a00\u300b(The Silver Manifesto)\u7684\u4f5c\u8005David Morgan\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u94f6\u4ef7\u5c06\u8fbe\u523040\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8(51\u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8)\u3002\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u767d\u94f6\u7231\u597d\u8005\u6240\u6e34\u671b\u768450\u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8(65\u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8)\u7684\u56de\u5f52\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\uff0c\u767d\u94f6\u4e0e\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u91cd\u65b0\u5e73\u8861\u3002 \u6bcf\u76ce\u53f840\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e0a\u6da845%\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u4ef7\u4eca\u5e74\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 \u6469\u6839\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u7535\u6c60\u677f\u5236\u9020\u5546\u5bf9\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u767d\u94f6\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u907f\u98ce\u6e2f\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u7684\u3002 \u201c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u57fa\u91d1\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u767d\u94f6\u603b\u91cf\u662f3\u4ebf\u76ce\u53f8\u5b9e\u7269\u767d\u94f6\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u95fb\u6240\u672a\u95fb\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u4ece\u672a\u6709\u8fc7\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u767d\u94f6\u6295\u8d44\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c1:70\u6bd4\u53bb\u5e74\u767d\u94f6\u5e02\u573a\u76841:128\u8981\u597d\u5f97\u591a\u3002 \u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u51e0\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u57282019\u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7a81\u7834\u4e861:90\u3002 \u4f26\u6566Hallgarten &amp; Co\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u548c\u77ff\u4e1a\u7b56\u7565\u5e08Christopher Ecclestone\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u5e74\u8be5\u6bd4\u7387\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u91cd\u65b0\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u5bf9\u767d\u94f6\u6709\u5229\u3002 \u4ed6\u672c\u5468\u8868\u793a:\u201c\u5728\u672a\u676512\u4e2a\u6708\u91cc\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u770b\u5230\u94f6\u4ef7\u5904\u4e8e\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f830\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u91d1\u4ef7\u8d85\u8fc7\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f82500\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u201d \u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u6700\u597d\u7684\u670b\u53cb\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u6f5c\u4f0f \u901a\u8d27\u518d\u81a8\u80c0\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u5377\u571f\u91cd\u6765\u3002 2021\u5e74\u4f0a\u59cb\uff0c\u7ebd\u7ea6\u7684\u503a\u5238\u4ea4\u6613\u5546\u770b\u6da8\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u63a8\u51fa\u5c06\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fc5\u901f\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u800c\u901a\u8baf\u793e\u62a5\u9053\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u901a\u8d27\u518d\u81a8\u80c0\u6e38\u620f\u201d\u3002 \u5217\u652f\u6566\u58eb\u767b\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8Incrementum\u7684\u56e2\u961f\u786e\u4fe1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u901a\u80c0\u6d6a\u6f6e\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\u3002 \u4ed6\u4eec\u6307\u51fa\uff0cRichard Nixon 1971\u5e74\u5c06\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u9ec4\u91d1\u8131\u94a9\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u610f\u5916\u540e\u679c\u3002 \u5b83\u5c06\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ece\u91d1\u5c5e\u652f\u6301(\u5982\u9ec4\u91d1)\u4f53\u5236\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u503a\u52a1\u652f\u6301\u4f53\u5236\u3002 \u4ec5\u57282020\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u4e0e\u5efa\u56fd\u524d200\u5e74\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u76f8\u53bb\u4e0d\u8fdc\u7684\u65b0\u503a\u52a1\u3002 \u4ece1776\u5e74\u52301976\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5171\u7b79\u96c6\u4e86\u5927\u7ea61\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u53bb\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u503a\u52a1\u5728\u77ed\u77ed30\u5929\u5185\u53c8\u589e\u52a0\u4e868640\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143(1.11\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143)\u3002 1980\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4fe1\u8d37\u5e02\u573a\u503a\u52a1\u603b\u989d\u4e3a1.6\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143\u3002 \u53bb\u5e74\u8fbe\u523080\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143(103.2\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143)\u3002 \u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9884\u7b97\u8d64\u5b57\u8fbe\u52303.3\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143(4.2\u4e07\u4ebf\u6fb3\u5143)\uff0c\u662f2019\u5e74\u65b0\u589e\u8d64\u5b57\u7684\u4e09\u500d\u3002 \u9ec4\u91d1\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u6700\u597d\u7684\u8bc1\u5238\u6295\u8d44 Incrementum\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u5e7f\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u300a\u6211\u4eec\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u300b(In Gold We Trust)\u5e74\u5ea6\u62a5\u544a\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u5c06\u51b2\u51fb\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4e5f\u5c06\u8ddf\u968f\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u8f68\u8ff9\u8fdb\u5165\u65b0\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u671f\u3002 \u751a\u81f3\u8fde\u519c\u4e1a\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5bf9\u5927\u8c46\u671f\u8d27\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u5c24\u5176\u9ad8\u6da8\u3002 \u589e\u91cf\u8865\u5145\u9053\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5c06\u662f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5468\u671f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u548c\u4e3b\u8981\u4ef7\u503c\u50a8\u5b58\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u4e5f\u770b\u597d\u767d\u94f6\u3002 \u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u6700\u8fd1\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u8b66\u62a5\u544a\u79f0:\u201c\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5bf9\u51b2\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5c3e\u90e8\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u4e2d\u6700\u597d\u7684\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u201d \u201c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u5728\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u9762\u524d\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u8fd8\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5b83\u7ecf\u53d7\u4f4f\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u5386\u53f2\u4e8b\u4ef6\u548c\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u8003\u9a8c\u3002 \u201c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d27\u5e01\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b58\u5728\u4e86\u6570\u5343\u5e74\uff0c\u662f\u6700\u53e4\u8001\u7684\u6587\u5316\u673a\u6784\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u201d \u9ec4\u91d1\u77ff\u5de5 \u4f46\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4ed6\u4eec\u751f\u4ea7\u6216\u52d8\u63a2\u7684\u91d1\u5c5e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u91c7\u77ff\u4e1a\u53c8\u5982\u4f55\u5462? \u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u56fe\u8868\u4e2d\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e86\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6709\u4e24\u70b9\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u3002&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=2478\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u65b0\u5174\u901a\u80c0\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":10451,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v17.3 (Yoast SEO v21.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u65b0\u5174\u901a\u80c0\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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