{"id":3919,"date":"2021-10-04T18:04:12","date_gmt":"2021-10-04T18:04:12","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=3919"},"modified":"2023-08-29T17:51:19","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T17:51:19","slug":"why-warren-buffett-will-never-trade-shares-quickly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=3919","title":{"rendered":"\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48Warren Buffett\u6c38\u8fdc\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5feb\u901f\u4ea4\u6613\u80a1\u7968"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u4f60\u6301\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\u591a\u4e45?<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u5c0f\u65f6\u3001\u4e00\u5929\u3001\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u3001\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd8\u662fWarren Buffett\u6700\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u6301\u80a1\u671f\u2014\u2014\u6c38\u8fdc?<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u8fd1\u8fdb\u5165\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u671f\u9650\u5f88\u77ed\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u5929\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4ee5\u5e74\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u6301\u6709\u671f\u9650\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5728COVID-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u671f\u9650\u518d\u6b21\u7f29\u77ed\u3002<\/p>\n

\u52a8\u8361\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u4f3c\u4e4e\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u957f\u671f\u6401\u7f6e\u4efb\u4f55\u6295\u8d44\u611f\u5230\u7d27\u5f20\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6301\u4ed3\u65f6\u95f4\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d<\/h2>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f7f\u7528New York Stock Exchange\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u663e\u793a\uff0c6\u6708\u4efd\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6301\u6709\u671f\u4ec5\u4e3a5.5\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e2019\u5e74\u5e95\u76848.5\u4e2a\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u751a\u81f3\u4f4e\u4e8e2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u540e6\u4e2a\u6708\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u5f53\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u5728\u6574\u4e2a\u65f6\u671f\u90fd\u6301\u6709\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u5feb\u901f\u5730\u6301\u7eed\u4ea4\u6613\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u4eba\u4e5f\u611f\u67d3\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u75c5\u6bd2<\/h2>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u6301\u6709\u671f\u9650\u4ece\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u76847\u4e2a\u6708\u7f29\u77ed\u81f3\u4e0d\u52305\u4e2a\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e5f\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u65b0\u8fdb\u5165\u8005\u7684\u6d8c\u5165\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u8bc1\u5238\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a(ASIC)\u7684\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u670970\u591a\u4e07\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4ea4\u6613\u8d26\u6237\u5f00\u8bbe\u3002<\/p>\n

RMIT University\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u9ad8\u7ea7\u8bb2\u5e08Angel Zhong\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u65b0\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u2014\u2014\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u4ea4\u6613\u9891\u7e41\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u4e8f\u635f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ea4\u6613\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u635f\u5931\u8d8a\u5927<\/h2>\n

Dr Zhong\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u53bb\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6ce2\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f53\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8\u7a81\u7136\u8dc3\u534725%\u65f6\uff0c\u65e5\u5e38\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u5c0f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u635f\u5931\u4e3a\u6bcf1000\u7f8e\u5143\u6295\u8d441.90\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u8dcc\u81f3\u53bb\u5e743\u6708\u89e6\u53ca\u7684\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u591a\u6295\u8d44\u6d3b\u52a8\u90fd\u662f\u4e70\u5165\u6536\u76ca\u9884\u8ba1\u4f1a\u5728\u5371\u673a\u671f\u95f4\u4fdd\u6301\u826f\u597d\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u80a1\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5927\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u80a1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u81ea\u90a3\u4ee5\u540e\uff0c\u75ab\u82d7\u7684\u9010\u6e10\u51fa\u73b0\u3001\u523a\u6fc0\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u6d8c\u73b0\u4ee5\u53ca\u5c01\u9501\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5145\u88d5\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u63a8\u9ad8\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u79d1\u6280\u3001\u65c5\u6e38\u3001\u533b\u7597\u548c\u96f6\u552e\u7c7b\u80a1\u6210\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6700\u9752\u7750\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u76ee\u7684\u5730\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4e5f\u5728\u8d54\u94b1<\/h2>\n

\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u52302020\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u6536\u590d\u4e86\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5931\u5730\uff0c\u4f46\u5feb\u901f\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5e76\u975e\u5982\u6b64\u3002Dr Zhong\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8\u57282020\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u4e0a\u5347\u4e8692%\uff0c\u4f46\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u4e0d\u6210\u529f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5373\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u6574\u4f53\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5feb\u901f\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u7684\u635f\u5931\u4e5f\u5728\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u6bcf\u5929\u6bcf\u6295\u8d441000\u7f8e\u5143\u5c31\u4f1a\u635f\u59316.50\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

Dr Zhong\u7687\u5bb6\u58a8\u5c14\u672c\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662(RMIT)\u7684Natalie Hendry\u548cWestern Sydney University\u7684Benjamin Hanckel\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5bf920\u81f330\u5c81\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7fa4\u4f53\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u91c7\u8bbf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5e74\u8f7b\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5927\u591a\u4e0d\u8ba4\u540c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6d3b\u52a8\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u8d4c\u535a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5f53\u88ab\u8981\u6c42\u8be6\u7ec6\u8bf4\u660e\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4e60\u60ef\u4e0e\u8d4c\u535a\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e4b\u5904:\u4ed6\u4eec\u8c08\u8bba\u4e0a\u763e\u3001\u6025\u4e8e\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u5bb3\u6015\u9519\u8fc7\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u548c\u5728\u7ebf\u8bba\u575b\u4e5f\u88ab\u9891\u7e41\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0eASIC\u6700\u8fd1\u59d7\u59d7\u6765\u8fdf\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u662f\u53d6\u7f14\u5728\u7ebf\u4fc3\u9500\u548c\u503e\u9500\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5e76\u524a\u5f31\u72e1\u733e\u548c\u65e0\u8bc1\u7684\u201c\u5f71\u54cd\u8005\u201d\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u76f8\u547c\u5e94\u3002<\/a><\/p>\n

\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u5728\u6574\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u8d70\u9ad8\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e48\u591a\u77ed\u7ebf\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u600e\u4e48\u4f1a\u635f\u5931\u8fd9\u4e48\u591a\u94b1\u5462?<\/p>\n

\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u90fd\u8ddf\u4e0d\u4e0a\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u6b65\u4f10<\/h2>\n

\u8fd9\u5176\u5b9e\u5e76\u4e0d\u795e\u79d8\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4e0d\u65ad\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u77ed\u7ebf\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u90fd\u4e0d\u5982\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b63\u56e0\u4e3a\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u591a\u6570\u4e3b\u52a8\u578b\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u4ecd\u672a\u80fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7528\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4e0d\u8db3\u7684\u65b0\u624b\u4ee3\u66ff\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u5927\u5927\u5938\u5927\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e45\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u77ed\u7ebf\u4ea4\u6613\u66f4\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u8d4c\u535a\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u957f\u671f\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5b83\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u8bb8\u591a\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u3002<\/p>\n

\u77ed\u671f\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u653e\u5927\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u8d62\u56de\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u800c\u5ffd\u7565\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u548c\u7a0e\u6536\u3002<\/p>\n

\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u4e0d\u65ad\u8df3\u5230\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u66ff\u4ee3\u65b9\u6848\u5462?<\/p>\n

Buffett\u5411\u6211\u4eec\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u505a\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9<\/h2>\n

\u4ece\u5f88\u957f\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u6765\u770b\uff0cWarren Buffett\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u597d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u4ed6\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a20%\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ece\u4ed6\u6301\u6709\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e1c\u897f\u662f\u660e\u667a\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u6301\u6709\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u662f\u591a\u5934\u3002<\/p>\n

Buffett\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4ed6\u6240\u9752\u7750\u7684\u6c38\u4e45\u6301\u80a1\u671f\u9650\u4e0e\u5176\u8bf4\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u8bf4\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u73b0\u5b9e\u2014\u2014\u8fd8\u8bb0\u5f97\u4ed6\u5356\u6389\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u822a\u7a7a\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u5927\u7b14\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u8054\u5408\u822a\u7a7a\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u822a\u7a7a\u3001\u897f\u5357\u822a\u7a7a\u548c\u8fbe\u7f8e\u822a\u7a7a\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\u5417?<\/p>\n

Buffett\u4ee555\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e8f\u635f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u8fc5\u901f\u51fa\u552e\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5f53\u60c5\u51b5\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u65f6\uff0cBuffett\u5e76\u4e0d\u5bb3\u6015\u679c\u65ad\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5f53\u4ed6\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u5bb6\u597d\u516c\u53f8\u5e76\u79ef\u7d2f\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u80a1\u4efd\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6015\u957f\u671f\u6301\u6709\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u3002<\/p>\n

Buffett\u5bf9\u53ef\u53e3\u53ef\u4e50\u548c\u82f9\u679c\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u65b9\u5f0f\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u503c\u5f97\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u5730\u65b9<\/h2>\n

\u4ee5\u53ef\u53e3\u53ef\u4e50\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u57281988\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u9996\u6b21\u5165\u80a1\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u4f2f\u514b\u5e0c\u5c14\u54c8\u6492\u97e6\u516c\u53f8\u4ecd\u7136\u6301\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u6536\u8d2d\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e5f\u540c\u6837\u5982\u6b64\u2014\u2014\u82f9\u679c\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u57282016\u5e74\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u4e00\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u4f9d\u7136\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u60c5\u51b5\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u663e\u8457\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u5750\u7740\u6301\u6709\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u7684\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u5df2\u7ecf\u589e\u957f\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u500d\u4e8e\u6700\u521d\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u500d\u6570\u2014\u2014\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f9\u679c\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u662f\u6700\u521d\u6295\u8d44\u76846\u500d\uff0c\u53ef\u53e3\u53ef\u4e50\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u662f\u6700\u521d\u6295\u8d44\u768415\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

Buffett\u548c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5dee\u5f02<\/p>\n

Buffett\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0e\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4eec\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5b9e\u5728\u662f\u592a\u5927\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u4f46\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0cWarren Buffett\u5e76\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e70\u5165\u5e76\u6301\u6709\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7136\u800c\uff0cBuffett\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u4e70\u5356\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u5bb3\u6015\u8ba9\u4e00\u80a1\u80a1\u7968\u957f\u671f\u6301\u6709\u3002<\/p>\n

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Buffett\u5411\u6211\u4eec\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u505a\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9 \u4ece\u5f88\u957f\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u6765\u770b\uff0cWarren Buffett\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u597d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u4ed6\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u56de\u62a5\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a20%\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ece\u4ed6\u6301\u6709\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u4e2d\u5b66\u4e60\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e1c\u897f\u662f\u660e\u667a\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u6301\u6709\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u662f\u591a\u5934\u3002 Buffett\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4ed6\u6240\u9752\u7750\u7684\u6c38\u4e45\u6301\u80a1\u671f\u9650\u4e0e\u5176\u8bf4\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u8bf4\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u73b0\u5b9e\u2014\u2014\u8fd8\u8bb0\u5f97\u4ed6\u5356\u6389\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u822a\u7a7a\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u5927\u7b14\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u8054\u5408\u822a\u7a7a\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u822a\u7a7a\u3001\u897f\u5357\u822a\u7a7a\u548c\u8fbe\u7f8e\u822a\u7a7a\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\u5417? 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