{"id":4666,"date":"2022-02-16T20:35:39","date_gmt":"2022-02-16T20:35:39","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=4666"},"modified":"2023-08-29T18:01:37","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T18:01:37","slug":"now-time-own-commodities-super-cycle-goldman-sachs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=4666","title":{"rendered":"Goldman Sachs\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u6301\u6709\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u4e86"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7f8e\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884cGoldman Sachs\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u6301\u6709\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u65f6\u673a\u3002Goldman Sachs\u4e50\u89c2\u5730\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u4e2a\u957f\u8fbe10\u5e74\u7684\u201c\u8d85\u7ea7\u5468\u671f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u63a5\u53d7Bloomberg TV\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\uff0c\u8be5\u884c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7814\u7a76\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u7ba1Jeff Currie\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4ed630\u5e74\u7684\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u6daf\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ece\u672a\u89c1\u8fc7\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u4ee5\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u77ed\u7f3a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

Currie\u5c06\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u201c\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u201d\u7684\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u591a\u6570\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u66f2\u7ebf\u5b58\u5728\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u73b0\u8d27\u6ea2\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u73b0\u8d27\u6ea2\u4ef7\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8868\u660e\u4eca\u5929\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u660e\u5929\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7ed3\u6784\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb50\u5e74\u91cc\u53ea\u53d1\u751f\u8fc77\u6b21\uff0cCurrie\u5c06\u5176\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u201c\u6559\u79d1\u4e66\u77ed\u7f3a\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c2008\u5e74\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u5206\u5b50\u5371\u673a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u4e86:\u77f3\u6cb9\u3001\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u3001\u7164\u70ad\u3001\u94dc\u3001\u94dd\uff0c\u4f60\u80fd\u60f3\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u4e86\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5904\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\u7684\u5e93\u5b58\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u65fa\u76db\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u652f\u6301\u6027\u7684\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u73af\u5883\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u5728\u5de5\u4e1a\u91d1\u5c5e\u65b9\u9762\u5c24\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u4e3a\u786e\u4fdd\u5373\u65f6\u4f9b\u5e94\u800c\u652f\u4ed8\u9ad8\u989d\u6ea2\u4ef7\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u519c\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u6210\u4e3a\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u590d\u82cf\u671f\u95f4\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6700\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

2020\u5e7410\u6708\uff0cGoldman Sachs\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u8d85\u7ea7\u5468\u671f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed10\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

Currie\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u9884\u671f\u4e2d\u7684\u201c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u4f18\u5f02\u8868\u73b0\u201d\u5c06\u8bc1\u660e\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5934\u5bf8\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\u201d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u4ee5\u77f3\u6cb9\u4e3a\u4f8b\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672a\u67653\u81f36\u4e2a\u6708\u53d8\u5f97\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u7d27\u5f20\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u201c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u672a\u67653\u81f36\u5468\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u5e45\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5927\u2014\u2014\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662fBrent\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c<\/h2>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\uff0cInternational Energy Agency\u8b66\u544a\u79f0\uff0c\u968f\u7740OPEC\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u53cb\u4ece\u75ab\u60c5\u4e2d\u590d\u82cf\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u76ee\u524d\u6bcf\u687690\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u53ea\u6709\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\uff08Saudi Arabia\uff09\u548c\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u8054\u5408\u914b\u957f\u56fd\uff08United Arab Emirates\uff09\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e862019\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5(COVID-19)\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9020\u6210\u51b2\u51fb\u4e4b\u524d\u76842020\u5e741\u6708\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6Brent\u539f\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u687685\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1Currie\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5728\u5047\u8bbe\u4f0a\u6717\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cd\u65b0\u8fdb\u5165\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5f97\u51fa\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u201c\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u201d\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fbe\u523095\u7f8e\u5143\/\u6876\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8bf4:\u201c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7684\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff0c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6cb9\u4ef7\uff0c\u5b83\u4ecd\u7136\u5904\u4e8e\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5bf9\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u5bb9\u5fcd\u5ea6\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u89c1\u8fc7\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u523b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4:\u201c\u628a\u5b83\u653e\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u5de5\u8d44\u4e0a\u6da8\u548c\u8865\u8d34\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u597d\u5904\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u94c0\u524d\u666f<\/h2>\n

Currie\u5bf9\u94c0\u7684\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u4e50\u89c2\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8868\u793a:\u201c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u90fd\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u771f\u7684\u60f3\u8981\u89e3\u51b3\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u8131\u78b3\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f60\u5c31\u9700\u8981\u5229\u7528\u6838\u80fd\u548c\u5fae\u578b\u53d1\u7535\u673a\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u4ece\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u524d\u666f\u975e\u5e38\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u54c8\u8428\u514b\u65af\u5766\uff08Kazakhstan\uff09\uff0c\u524d\u666f\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e50\u89c2\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u6307\u7684\u662f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e2d\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u52a8\u8361\u5c40\u9762\u3002\u5168\u740340%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u94c0\u4ea7\u91cf\u6765\u81ea\u8be5\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n

Currie\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6b27\u6d32\u67d0\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u6838\u80fd\u5f52\u7c7b\u4e3a\u201cESG\u53cb\u597d\u578b\u201d\u6216\u201c\u7eff\u8272\u578b\u201d\uff0c\u94c0\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u771f\u6b63\u201c\u8d77\u98de\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u201c\u771f\u7684\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5176\u4ed6\u5e02\u573a<\/h2>\n

\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58\u76ee\u524d\u7ea6\u4e3a40\u4e07\u5428\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\uff0c\u800c\u94dd\u5e93\u5b58\u5219\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u56e0\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51b6\u70bc\u5382\u88ab\u8feb\u524a\u51cf\u4ea7\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7535\u6c60\u7ea7\u78b3\u9178\u9502\u53bb\u5e74\u98d9\u5347\u903e400%\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u54285\u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002 Citigroup\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u9500\u91cf\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u9502\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7\u4f9b\u5e946%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u519c\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5496\u5561\u5e93\u5b58\u5df2\u964d\u81f320\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eceCOVID-19\u6062\u590d\u5230\u80fd\u6e90\u8f6c\u578b<\/h2>\n

Currie\u5c062022\u5e74\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e3a\u201c2019\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2\u75c5(COVID-19)\u540e\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u9700\u6c42\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u57282023\u5e74\u770b\u5230\u7684\u7eff\u8272\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u9700\u6c42\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8fc7\u6e21\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u5b83\u60f3\u8c61\u6210\u4f20\u9012\u63a5\u529b\u68d2\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6570\u91d1\u5c5e\u5e02\u573a\u4ee5\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u8d64\u5b57(\u5728\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u5e74)\u5c06\u771f\u6b63\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8bf4:\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8f6c\u53d8\u5c06\u57282023\u5e74\u771f\u6b63\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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\u73b0\u8d27\u6ea2\u4ef7\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8868\u660e\u4eca\u5929\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u660e\u5929\u4ea4\u5272\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u7ed3\u6784\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb50\u5e74\u91cc\u53ea\u53d1\u751f\u8fc77\u6b21\uff0cCurrie\u5c06\u5176\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u201c\u6559\u79d1\u4e66\u77ed\u7f3a\u201d\u3002 \u201c2008\u5e74\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u5206\u5b50\u5371\u673a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u4e86:\u77f3\u6cb9\u3001\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u3001\u7164\u70ad\u3001\u94dc\u3001\u94dd\uff0c\u4f60\u80fd\u60f3\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u4e86\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u3002 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