{"id":4852,"date":"2022-03-23T22:06:27","date_gmt":"2022-03-23T22:06:27","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=4852"},"modified":"2023-08-29T18:01:36","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T18:01:36","slug":"rocketing-fertiliser-prices-forecast-continue-war-surging-cost-fuel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=4852","title":{"rendered":"\u968f\u7740\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u71c3\u6599\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u98d9\u5347"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u968f\u7740\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u7ee7\u7eed\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u6bcf\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u90fd\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u8fde\u9501\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u9996\u5148\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u5316\u80a5\u4ea7\u54c1\u53ca\u5176\u539f\u6750\u6599\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e\u2014\u2014\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u94be\u80a5\u662f\u5316\u80a5\u7684\u5173\u952e\u539f\u6599\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6bcf\u5e74\u8d21\u732e\u4e86\u94be\u80a5\u5e02\u573a40%\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u3002\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u4e0d\u4e45\u7684\u5c06\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

CRU Group\u5316\u80a5\u4e3b\u7ba1Chris Lawson\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af-\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5371\u673a\u5728\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u8f70\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8868\u793a:\u201c\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u5e76\u672a\u505c\u6b62\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u663e\u8457\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fdb\u53e3\u5546\u548c\u8239\u8236\u79df\u8239\u4eba\u90fd\u907f\u5f00\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u95ee\u9898<\/h2>\n

\u968f\u7740\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u5bfc\u81f4\u6bcf\u5e74\u7cae\u98df\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u8fd9\u7834\u574f\u4e86\u5c06\u9965\u997f\u548c\u8d2b\u56f0\u6700\u5c0f\u5316\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u4ea7\u91cf\u4f1a\u5f88\u4f4e\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5bfb\u6c42\u589e\u52a0\u56fd\u5185\u5316\u80a5\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f25\u8865\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7559\u4e0b\u7684\u8d1f\u62c5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5316\u80a5\u5de8\u5934Yara International\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\u517c\u603b\u88c1Svein Tore Holsether\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4eba\u4e25\u91cd\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u6211\u62c5\u5fc3\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u4e00\u573a\u7cae\u98df\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u201d Holsether\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u5448\u6307\u6570\u7ea7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5916\uff0c\u71c3\u6599\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u591a\u4ea7\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u4ea7\u91cf\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5168\u56fd\u519c\u6c11\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6(National Farmers Federation Chief Economist) Ash Salardani\u8bf4\uff0c\u67f4\u6cb9\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u6765\u8bf4\u90fd\u662f\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8bf4:\u201c\u67f4\u6cb9\u662f\u519c\u573a\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u62d6\u62c9\u673a\u3001\u53d1\u7535\u673a\uff0c\u4f60\u80fd\u60f3\u5230\u7684\u4e00\u5207\uff0c\u67f4\u6cb9\u662f\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u80fd\u6e90\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u67f4\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u53472.10\u6fb3\u5143\u81f32.40\u6fb3\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8bb8\u591a\u4e13\u5bb6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7cae\u4ef7\u5c1a\u672a\u89c1\u9876\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u7cae\u4ef7\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u519c\u6c11\u548c\u9a7e\u8f66\u8005\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u5c06\u53d7\u5230\u635f\u5bb3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8054\u90a6\u8bc1\u5238\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Ryan Felsman\u8bf4\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u5c40\u52bf\u5bf9\u6c7d\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7834\u574f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8bf4:\u201c\u5982\u679c\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4ecd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876150\u6fb3\u5143\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u8bc1\u4ea4\u6240\u4e0a\u5e02\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u80a1\u7968\u8868\u73b0<\/h2>\n

\u4eca\u5e74\u5e74\u521d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6c28\u3001\u6c2e\u3001\u94be\u80a5\u7b49\u5316\u80a5\u751f\u4ea7\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u539f\u6750\u6599\u4ef7\u683c\u636e\u8bf4\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e8630%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5165\u4fb5\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\uff0c\u5df2\u5c06\u5316\u80a5\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u63a8\u81f3\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

4\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u9897\u7c92\u5c3f\u7d20\u7684FOB\u4ef7\u683c\u9ad8\u8fbe\u6bcf\u5428920\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e749\u6708\u4efd\u6bcf\u5428418\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6291\u5236\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u4e3a\u5176\u5316\u80a5\u4ea7\u54c1\u6240\u5438\u5f15\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d85\u8fc73.4%\u540e\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u4f01\u4e1a\u96c6\u56e2Wesfarmers (ASX: WES)\u6700\u65b0\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e50\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u53e6\u4e00\u5bb6\u4e3b\u8981\u5316\u80a5\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u662fIncitec Pivot(ASX: IPL)\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u4ef7\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u91cc\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e8621%\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u4e3a3.80\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

Leigh Creek Energy (ASX: LCK)\u8ba1\u5212\u901a\u8fc7\u5176\u5728\u5357\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5dde\u7684\u540c\u540d\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7b2c\u4e00\u5bb6\u5b8c\u5168\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u7684\u5c3f\u7d20\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8be5\u9879\u76ee\u5df2\u8fbe\u5230\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u8ba1\u5212\u5229\u7528\u5176\u4e13\u6709\u7684\u5408\u6210\u6c14\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4e3a\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u5e02\u573a\u751f\u4ea7\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u7684\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u5c3f\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5174\u8da3\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u94be\u80a5\u52d8\u63a2\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8<\/h2>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u786b\u9178\u94be(SOP)\u548c\u6c2f\u5316\u94be(MOP)\u662f\u5316\u80a5\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6210\u5206\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u8bc1\u4ea4\u6240\u4e0a\u5e02\u7684\u52d8\u63a2\u516c\u53f8\u6b63\u5438\u5f15\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5174\u8da3\u3002<\/p>\n

Australian Potash (ASX: APC)\u6700\u65b0\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a0.069\u6fb3\u5143\uff0c\u5f53\u6708\u4e0a\u6da8\u8fd117%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u524d\uff0cAustralian Potash\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u4e3a\u671f10\u5e74\u7684\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5c06\u5728Lake Wells\u9879\u76ee\u4e2d\u751f\u4ea7\u786b\u9178\u94be\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002<\/p>\n

Trigg Mining (ASX: TMG)\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u4e0a\u6da8\u8d85\u8fc79%\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a0.071\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u897f\u6fb3\u62c9\u5f17\u987f\u9644\u8fd1\u6709\u4e24\u4e2aSOP\u9879\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n

Agrimin (ASX: AMN)\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u8fdb\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5dde\u7684Mackay SOP\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u4ef7\u672c\u6708\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e8615%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728Eritrea\uff0cDanakali (ASX: DNK)\u6b63\u5728\u4e0eEritrean National Mining Corporation\u5408\u8d44\u63a8\u8fdbColluli SOP\u9879\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e0a\u4e2a\u6708\u6ca1\u6709\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4f46Danakali\u7684\u80a1\u4ef7\u5468\u4e09\u6536\u76d8\u4e0a\u6da810%\uff0c\u81f30.32\u6fb3\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

South Harz Potash (ASX:PHO SHP)\u6b63\u5728\u5f00\u53d1\u5fb7\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u60a0\u4e45\u7684South Harz MOP\u6cb9\u7530\uff0c\u63a8\u6d4b\u8d44\u6e90\u8d85\u8fc752.7\u4ebf\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u5f53\u6708\u4e0a\u6da8\u8fd145%\uff0c\u5468\u4e09\u6536\u4e8e0.21\u6fb3\u5143\uff0c\u6da8\u5e4510.53%\u3002<\/p>\n

Phosco (ASX: PHO)\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86\u8fd170%\uff0c\u4ee5\u6bcf\u80a115\u6fb3\u5206\u4ea4\u6613\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u6700\u8fd1\u5411\u5176Kef El Louz\u78f7\u77ff\u4ea4\u4ed8\u4e8650%\u7684\u77ff\u7269\u589e\u957f\u91cf\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5176\u65d7\u8230Chaketma\u78f7\u77ff\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n

\u521b\u65b0\u586b\u8865\u7a7a\u767d<\/h2>\n

\u5728\u521b\u65b0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u50cfVeratin (NSX: VTN)\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u6b63\u5bfb\u6c42\u4ece\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u5bf9\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u548c\u73af\u4fdd\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e2d\u83b7\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u7eff\u8272\u6280\u672f\u6765\u201c\u5347\u7ea7\u56de\u6536\u201d\u7f8a\u6bdb\u5e9f\u6599<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n

\u901a\u8fc7\u7eff\u8272\u5316\u5b66\u5de5\u827a\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u4ece\u4f4e\u7ea7\u7f8a\u6bdb\u4e2d\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u9ad8\u7aef\u4ef7\u503c\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5176\u65d7\u8230\u4ea7\u54c1Verigrow\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u901a\u7528\u5316\u80a5\u548c\u571f\u58e4\u6539\u826f\u5242\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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\u9664\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u5448\u6307\u6570\u7ea7\u4e0a\u6da8\u5916\uff0c\u71c3\u6599\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u591a\u4ea7\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u4ea7\u91cf\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 \u5168\u56fd\u519c\u6c11\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6(National Farmers Federation Chief Economist) Ash Salardani\u8bf4\uff0c\u67f4\u6cb9\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u751f\u4ea7\u5546\u6765\u8bf4\u90fd\u662f\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u3002 \u4ed6\u8bf4:\u201c\u67f4\u6cb9\u662f\u519c\u573a\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u80fd\u6e90\uff0c\u62d6\u62c9\u673a\u3001\u53d1\u7535\u673a\uff0c\u4f60\u80fd\u60f3\u5230\u7684\u4e00\u5207\uff0c\u67f4\u6cb9\u662f\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u80fd\u6e90\u3002\u201d \u672c\u5468\uff0c\u67f4\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u53472.10\u6fb3\u5143\u81f32.40\u6fb3\u5143\u3002 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