{"id":5023,"date":"2022-04-25T22:43:07","date_gmt":"2022-04-25T22:43:07","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=5023"},"modified":"2023-08-29T17:53:48","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T17:53:48","slug":"will-rba-raise-interest-rates-during-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=5023","title":{"rendered":"RBA\u4f1a\u5728\u5927\u9009\u671f\u95f4\u52a0\u606f\u5417\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

Reserve Bank of Australia\u4f1a\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u5730\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u5927\u9009\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u523b\u52a0\u5165\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u7684 3 \u6708\u5b63\u5ea6 CPI \u6570\u636e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u52a0\u5927RBA 5 \u6708 3 \u65e5\u8463\u4e8b\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5b98\u65b9\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece\u4e00\u79cd\u975e\u5e38\u9065\u8fdc\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee5\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u653f\u6cbb\u538b\u529b\u800c\u81ea\u8c6a\u7684\u673a\u6784\uff0cRBA\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\u52aa\u529b\u907f\u514d\u6210\u4e3a\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u8463\u4e8b\u4f1a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\u5f62\u52bf\u6076\u5316\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5feb\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u6beb\u4e0d\u72b9\u8c6b\u5730\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u4f1a\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff08US Federal Reserve Chair\uff09Jerome Powell\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u7d27\u6025\u7684\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5373\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u8fc5\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5229\u7387\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n

John Howard\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u53ef\u4ee5\u91cd\u590d<\/h2>\n

RBA\u5bf9\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u6700\u8457\u540d\u5e72\u9884\u662f\u5728 2007 \u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u8be5\u94f6\u884c\u5728 11 \u6708 7 \u65e5\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86 0.25% \u81f3 6.75%\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86John Howard\u5728 11 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u4ee5\u538b\u5012\u6027\u4f18\u52bf\u8f93\u7ed9\u4e86\u9646\u514b\u6587\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u672a\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5bb6\u5ead\u503a\u52a1\u6c34\u5e73\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u5bb6\u5ead\u5bf9RBA\u52a0\u606f\u540e\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u654f\u611f\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u9009\u4e3e\u4e2d\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u5c06\u66f4\u4e3a\u663e\u7740\u3002<\/p>\n

\u867d\u7136\u76ee\u524d\u5229\u7387\u5904\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u4f4e\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0a\u6da8\u90fd\u7279\u522b\u96be\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5f88\u5feb\u589e\u52a0\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8d85\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u4e0a\u6da8\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u5417\uff1f<\/h2>\n

\u5982\u679cRBA\u91c7\u53d6\u6bd4\u5e73\u65f6\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u5e45\u5ea6\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u5c24\u5176\u5982\u6b64\uff0c Bill Evans\u7b49\u4e00\u4e9b\u6743\u5a01\u4eba\u58eb\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5f53RBA\u786e\u5b9e\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u7684 0.1% \u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u52a0\u606f 0.4% \u81f3\u5c06\u5b98\u65b9\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3 0.5%\uff0c\u4ee5\u904f\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u5e76\u9886\u5148\u4e8e\u66f2\u7ebf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5728\u8868\u793a\uff0c5 \u6708\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u662f\u5bf9\u786c\u5e01\u547d\u9898\u7684\u98a0\u8986\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u9010\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3 0.25% \u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u9274\u4e8e\u603b\u7406Scott Morrison\u58f0\u79f0\u62e5\u6709\u5353\u8d8a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u8d85\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u770b\u5f85\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\uff0c\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u5bf9\u52a0\u606f\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e29\u548c\u7684RBA\u8463\u4e8b\u4f1a\u5c06\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u7b49\u5230\u592a\u665a\u624d\u53d6\u6d88\u8d85\u7ea7\u523a\u6fc0\u6027\u5229\u7387\u7684\u5371\u9669\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6bd4\u5e73\u65f6\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u52a0\u606f\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u597d\u5904\u4f5c\u4e3a\u663e\u793a\u5176\u904f\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u907f\u514d\u672a\u6765\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u51b3\u5fc3\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ecd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7b49\u5230\u516d\u6708<\/h2>\n

\u8bdd\u867d\u5982\u6b64\uff0cRBA\u4e5f\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7b49\u5230 6 \u6708\u624d\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u667a\u6167\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u62a5\u544a\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u538b\u529b\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u5173\u4e8e\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5de8\u989d\u5916\u503a\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u548c\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/p>\n

Westpac\u7684Bill Evans\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u6f5c\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4ee5\u53ca\u9884\u8ba1 4 \u6708\u4efd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5c06\u964d\u81f3 3.8% \u768448 \u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9\u201d\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u6bd4\u5f80\u5e38\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b8c\u5168\u62b5\u6d88 0.4% \u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u5c06\u4f7f\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u6708 800,000 \u6fb3\u5143\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u7684\u8fd8\u6b3e\u989d\u589e\u52a0 168 \u6fb3\u5143\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fc7\u591a\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u4f4f\u623f\u8d37\u6b3e\u5c06\u51cf\u5c11\u8fd9\u79cd\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5229\u5dee\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u5f53\u9700\u8981\u5728\u671f\u9650\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u91cd\u65b0\u8c08\u5224\u65b0\u8d37\u6b3e\u65f6\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4ecd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u56fa\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u8d37\u6b3e\u4eba\u9020\u6210\u91cd\u5927\u51b2\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u94f6\u884c\u73b0\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5230\u660e\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0cRBA\u7684\u73b0\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u5728 2.25% \u81f3 3.5% \u4e4b\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u9884\u7b97\u75db\u82e6<\/h2>\n

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Reserve Bank of Australia\u4f1a\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u5730\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u5927\u9009\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u523b\u52a0\u5165\u5417\uff1f \u672c\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e03\u7684 3 \u6708\u5b63\u5ea6 CPI \u6570\u636e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u52a0\u5927RBA 5 \u6708 3 \u65e5\u8463\u4e8b\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u5b98\u65b9\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece\u4e00\u79cd\u975e\u5e38\u9065\u8fdc\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002 \u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee5\u72ec\u7acb\u4e8e\u653f\u6cbb\u538b\u529b\u800c\u81ea\u8c6a\u7684\u673a\u6784\uff0cRBA\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\u52aa\u529b\u907f\u514d\u6210\u4e3a\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u8463\u4e8b\u4f1a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u901a\u80c0\u5f62\u52bf\u6076\u5316\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5feb\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u6beb\u4e0d\u72b9\u8c6b\u5730\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002 \u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u4f1a\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff08US Federal Reserve Chair\uff09Jerome Powell\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u7d27\u6025\u7684\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5373\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u7387\u5c06\u8fc5\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u5229\u7387\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002 John Howard\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u53ef\u4ee5\u91cd\u590d RBA\u5bf9\u7ade\u9009\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u6700\u8457\u540d\u5e72\u9884\u662f\u5728 2007 \u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u8be5\u94f6\u884c\u5728 11 \u6708 7 \u65e5\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86 0.25% \u81f3 6.75%\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86John Howard\u5728 11 \u6708 24 \u65e5\u4ee5\u538b\u5012\u6027\u4f18\u52bf\u8f93\u7ed9\u4e86\u9646\u514b\u6587\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u672a\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u679c\u3002 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\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u52a0\u606f 0.4% \u81f3\u5c06\u5b98\u65b9\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3 0.5%\uff0c\u4ee5\u904f\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u5e76\u9886\u5148\u4e8e\u66f2\u7ebf\u3002 \u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u73b0\u5728\u8868\u793a\uff0c5 \u6708\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u662f\u5bf9\u786c\u5e01\u547d\u9898\u7684\u98a0\u8986\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u9010\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3 0.25% \u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u9274\u4e8e\u603b\u7406Scott Morrison\u58f0\u79f0\u62e5\u6709\u5353\u8d8a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u8d85\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u5c06\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 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