{"id":5802,"date":"2022-09-14T23:17:57","date_gmt":"2022-09-14T23:17:57","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=5802"},"modified":"2023-08-29T17:55:35","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T17:55:35","slug":"gold-remains-steady-other-asset-classes-retreat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=5802","title":{"rendered":"\u968f\u7740\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u7684\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u540e\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u6709\u4e00\u79cd\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u8868\u73b0\u4f18\u4e8e\u5927\u591a\u6570\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u575a\u5b88\u9635\u5730\u2014\u2014\u9ec4\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u53ef\u56de\u907f\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u662f\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u81ea\u4e0a\u5468\u672b\u4ee5\u6765\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86\u7ea6 15 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\uff0c\u5728\u64b0\u5199\u672c\u6587\u65f6\u4ea4\u6613\u4e8e 1,700 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u6309\u7167S&P 500\u6307\u6570\u8861\u91cf\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0b\u8dcc 4.6%\uff0c\u8ffd\u8e2a\u524d 30 \u540d\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u9053Dow Jones Industrial Average\u4e0b\u8dcc 4.2%\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5468\u4e09\u7d27\u968f\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u8fd9 0.8% \u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u4e0d\u9519\u6e83\u8d25\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u8868\u73b0\u597d\u4e8e\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u660e\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u6b63\u5728\u5438\u5f15\u907f\u9669\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ee7\u7eed\u6253\u51fb\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b<\/h2>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7279\u522b\u70ed\u8877\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5728\u672c\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u4e2d\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u88ab\u63a8\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u4ee5\u6fb3\u5143\u8ba1\u4ef7\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u672c\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86 21 \u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\uff0c\u81f3 2,528 \u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u548c\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u6b27\u5143\u548c\u65e5\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u66f4\u52a0\u4ee4\u4eba\u5370\u8c61\u6df1\u523b\u3002\u4ee5\u6b27\u5143\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0a\u6da8 7%\uff0c\u800c\u65e5\u5143\u5219\u4e0a\u6da8 17%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8 (US Federal Reserve) \u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u672c\u6708\u665a\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u5c06\u518d\u6b21\u52a0\u606f 0.75%\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5fae\u5347\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u6240\u6709\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6b63\u5e38\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u6765\u8bf4\u662f\u4e2a\u574f\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u4f46\u9884\u8ba1\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u635f\u5bb3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684 12 \u4e2a\u6708\u91cc\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u626e\u6f14\u5176\u6700\u53e4\u8001\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66b4\u98ce\u96e8\u4e2d\u7684\u951a\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u4e0d\u8981\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u6297\u201d<\/h2>\n

\u672c\u5468\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u8ba9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u611f\u5230\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u8b66\u544a\u5ffd\u89c6\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u4e0d\u8981\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f5c\u5bf9\u201d\u662f\u6bcf\u6b21\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f\u540e\u6d8c\u5165\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u65e0\u89c6\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u6709\u6548\u5730\u544a\u8bc9\u94f6\u884c\u52a0\u606f\u4e0d\u662f\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

\u80a1\u7968\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u672c\u6708\u524d 13 \u5929\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8 6%\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e0c\u671b\u770b\u5230\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u548c\u80a1\u7968\u4ef7\u503c\u6b63\u5e38\u5316\u7684\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5229\u7387\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5371\u9669\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5f53\u7f8e\u56fd 8 \u6708\u4efd\u901a\u80c0\u5e74\u7387\u8fbe\u5230 8.3% \u65f6\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u96c6\u4f53\u98a4\u6817\uff0c\u5e0c\u671b\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u7834\u706d\u4e86 0.5%\uff0c\u53d6\u800c\u4ee3\u4e4b\u7684\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a 0.75% \u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6574\u65741%\u7684\u6740\u624b\u950f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6df1\u5c42\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0<\/h2>\n

\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u5c24\u5176\u5173\u6ce8\u5e76\u89e3\u91ca\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u53ef\u80fd\u8d70\u5411\u7684\u60b2\u89c2\u770b\u6cd5\u662f\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u76f8\u4fe1\u901a\u80c0\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u6839\u6df1\u8482\u56fa\uff0c\u6bd4\u4ee5\u524d\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7684\u8981\u6df1<\/p>\n

\u65e5\u672c\u94f6\u884c\u91ce\u6751\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u540e\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5b83\u8ba4\u4e3a\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u573a\u201c\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u6839\u6df1\u8482\u56fa\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u4f55\u79cd\u63aa\u65bd\u6765\u6d88\u9664\u901a\u80c0\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86\u6700\u65e9\u5728\u4e0b\u5468\u518d\u4e0a\u8c03 0.75% \u7684\u5229\u7387\u5916\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u603b\u4f53\u6da8\u5e45\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a 1.75%\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f3 4.25%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u91d1\u5bf9\u6297\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u8f68\u8ff9<\/h2>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u559c\u6b22\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u662f\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u5f53\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6700\u7ec8\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5373\u6d88\u9664\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4ee5\u4f7f\u4e16\u754c\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u4e3a\u4ee3\u4ef7\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e5f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u8d62\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

Bloomberg Intelligence \u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5546\u54c1\u7b56\u7565\u5e08 Mike McGlone \u672c\u5468\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u53cd\u5f39\u53ef\u80fd\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u80fd\u591f\u4ee5\u591a\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u538b\u7f29\u80a1\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n

McGlone\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u9ec4\u91d1\u957f\u671f\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\u548c\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73b0\u4f18\u5f02\u7684\u65f6\u671f\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u5728\u9006\u8f6c\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u4ece 2000 \u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u8bf4\u6cd5\u5728 2022 \u5e74\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce\u3002\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7ea6 6%\uff0c\u800cS&P 500\u6307\u6570\u622a\u81f3 9 \u6708 9 \u65e5\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7ea6 15%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u76f4\u81f3\u51fa\u73b0\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u53ef\u80fd\u5df2\u63a5\u8fd1\u8d27\u5e01\u62d0\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

McGlone\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5927\u591a\u6570\u592e\u884c\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6297\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e 2008 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u540e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u540e\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u76f8\u63d0\u5e76\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728 2008 \u5e74\u89e6\u5e95\u5728 700 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5728 2011 \u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u957f\u671f\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3 1,700 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\u3002<\/p>\n

McGlone \u7684\u7406\u8bba\u662f\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u89e6\u5e95\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u89e6\u5e95\u540c\u65f6\u51fa\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u201c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fce\u6765\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u5927\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e76\u672a\u50cf\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u4ea7\u7c7b\u522b\u90a3\u6837\u906d\u5230\u731b\u70c8\u629b\u552e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u4e8b\u5b9e\u53ef\u80fd\u8868\u660e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d62\u5f97\u5bf9\u6297\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u6597\u4e89\u4e4b\u524d\u5df2\u5728\u65e9\u671f\u6301\u6709\u9ec4\u91d1\u5934\u5bf8\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ee5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u4e3a\u4ee3\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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\u9ec4\u91d1\u8868\u73b0\u597d\u4e8e\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u8868\u660e\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u6b63\u5728\u5438\u5f15\u907f\u9669\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ee7\u7eed\u6253\u51fb\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002 \u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b \u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7279\u522b\u70ed\u8877\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u5143\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5728\u672c\u56fd\u8d27\u5e01\u4e2d\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u88ab\u63a8\u9ad8\u3002 \u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u5143\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f46\u4ee5\u6fb3\u5143\u8ba1\u4ef7\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u672c\u5468\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86 21 \u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\uff0c\u81f3 2,528 \u6fb3\u5143\/\u76ce\u53f8\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u53d8\u5316\u3002 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