{"id":6295,"date":"2023-01-12T04:03:24","date_gmt":"2023-01-12T04:03:24","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=6295"},"modified":"2023-08-29T17:56:42","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T17:56:42","slug":"china-reopening-copper-price-rebound-huge-deficit-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=6295","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u201c\u5de8\u989d\u8d64\u5b57\u201d\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u94dc\u4ef7\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u53cd\u5f39"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684 COVID \u96f6\u8f6c\u53d8\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u4ea7\u751f\u671f\u5f85\u5df2\u4e45\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5173\u952e\u7535\u6c60\u91d1\u5c5e\u94dc\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u521b\u4e0b 6 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u6700\u5927\u6d88\u8d39\u56fd\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u56de\u5347\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91cd\u56de\u589e\u957f\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6240\u6709\u884c\u4e1a\u90fd\u5c06\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u5f39\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u523a\u6fc0\u6d88\u8d39\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5468\u4e00 London Metal Exchange (LME) \u7684\u73b0\u8d27\u94dc\u4ef7\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u5428 8,766 \u7f8e\u5143 &#8211; \u5230\u5468\u4e09\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3\u8fd1 9,000 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u5468\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u5f39\u662f\u5728\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u89e6\u53ca 8,209 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u7684\u5e95\u90e8\u4e4b\u540e\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e74 3 \u6708\u63a5\u8fd1 11,000 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>LME \u5e93\u5b58\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a 84,800 \u5428\uff0c\u4e0e 2018 \u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\u7684 380,000 \u5428\u76f8\u53bb\u751a\u8fdc\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e International Copper Study Group\u00a0(ICSG) \u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u622a\u81f3 2022 \u5e74 11 \u6708\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 LME\u3001COMEX \u548c SHFE \u6301\u6709\u7684\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58\u7ea6\u4e3a 191,951 \u5428\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u591a\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4e00\u76f4\u9884\u6d4b\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5728\u652f\u6301\u4e16\u754c\u5411\u51c0\u96f6\u8fc7\u6e21\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4e2d\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u548c\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u94dc\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u5411\u51c0\u96f6\u8fc7\u6e21\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u88ab\u5439\u6367\u4e3a\u201c\u65b0\u77f3\u6cb9\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0cCOVID-19 \u7b49\u5916\u90e8\u56e0\u7d20\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u50f5\u5c40\u963b\u788d\u4e86\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u9884\u671f\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u5e02\u573a\u56e0\u7d20<\/h2>\n<p>\u540c\u6837\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u94dc\u4ef7\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5728\u4f9b\u5e94\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5bf9\u8fd9\u79cd\u5173\u952e\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>ICSG \u7684\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u94dc\u77ff\u5f00\u91c7\u56fd\u667a\u5229\u7684\u4ea7\u91cf\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86 6%\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p>ICSG \u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0cCOVID-19 \u9650\u5236\u548c\u611f\u67d3\u7387\u5728 2022 \u5e74\u521d\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u91c7\u77ff\u4ea7\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684 COVID \u96f6\u653f\u7b56\u6291\u5236\u4e86\u91c7\u77ff\u548c\u6d88\u8d39\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u622a\u81f3 2022 \u5e74 11 \u6708\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u91cc\uff0cLME \u5e73\u5747\u73b0\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a 8,834.2 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\uff0c\u6bd4 2021 \u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u964d\u8d85\u8fc7 5%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u5176\u6700\u65b0\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\uff0cICSG \u9884\u8ba1 2022 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u94dc\u4f9b\u5e94\u77ed\u7f3a 328,000 \u5428\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u94dc\u4ef7\u9884\u6d4b<\/h2>\n<p>\u5728\u5c55\u671b\u94dc\u4ef7\u8d70\u5411\u65f6\uff0cGoldman Sachs \u5728 12 \u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c2023 \u5e74\u94dc\u4ef7\u5747\u4ef7\u5c06\u8fbe\u5230 9,750 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\uff0c\u5e76\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3 12,000 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a0\u5165\u770b\u6da8\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u94dc\u77ff\u5546 Glencore\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5230 2030 \u5e74\uff0c\u8be5\u5546\u54c1\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u5168\u7403\u7d2f\u8ba1\u8d64\u5b57\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Glencore \u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98 Gary Nagle \u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u94dc\u51fa\u73b0\u5de8\u5927\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u4eba\u4eec\u6240\u5199\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u5c1a\u672a\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u6765\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684 COVID \u96f6\u8f6c\u53d8\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u5927\u5b97\u5546\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u4ea7\u751f\u671f\u5f85\u5df2\u4e45\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5173\u952e\u7535\u6c60\u91d1\u5c5e\u94dc\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u521b\u4e0b 6 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002 \u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u6700\u5927\u6d88\u8d39\u56fd\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u56de\u5347\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u3002 \u5206\u6790\u5e08\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91cd\u56de\u589e\u957f\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6240\u6709\u884c\u4e1a\u90fd\u5c06\u5feb\u901f\u53cd\u5f39\u3002 \u968f\u7740\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u523a\u6fc0\u6d88\u8d39\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5468\u4e00 London Metal Exchange (LME) \u7684\u73b0\u8d27\u94dc\u4ef7\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u5428 8,766 \u7f8e\u5143 &#8211; \u5230\u5468\u4e09\u4e0a\u6da8\u81f3\u8fd1 9,000 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u3002 \u672c\u5468\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u5f39\u662f\u5728\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u89e6\u53ca 8,209 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u7684\u5e95\u90e8\u4e4b\u540e\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e74 3 \u6708\u63a5\u8fd1 11,000 \u7f8e\u5143\/\u5428\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002 LME \u5e93\u5b58\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a 84,800 \u5428\uff0c\u4e0e 2018 \u5e74\u5e74\u4e2d\u7684 380,000 \u5428\u76f8\u53bb\u751a\u8fdc\u3002 \u6839\u636e International Copper Study Group\u00a0(ICSG) \u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u622a\u81f3 2022 \u5e74 11 \u6708\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 LME\u3001COMEX \u548c SHFE \u6301\u6709\u7684\u94dc\u5e93\u5b58\u7ea6\u4e3a 191,951 \u5428\u3002 \u591a\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u4e00\u76f4\u9884\u6d4b\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5728\u652f\u6301\u4e16\u754c\u5411\u51c0\u96f6\u8fc7\u6e21\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4e2d\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u548c\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u3002 \u94dc\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u5411\u51c0\u96f6\u8fc7\u6e21\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u88ab\u5439\u6367\u4e3a\u201c\u65b0\u77f3\u6cb9\u201d\u3002 \u7136\u800c\uff0cCOVID-19 \u7b49\u5916\u90e8\u56e0\u7d20\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u50f5\u5c40\u963b\u788d\u4e86\u91d1\u5c5e\u7684\u9884\u671f\u589e\u957f\u3002&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=6295\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u5728\u201c\u5de8\u989d\u8d64\u5b57\u201d\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u94dc\u4ef7\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u53cd\u5f39<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":17947,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v17.3 (Yoast SEO v21.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u5728\u201c\u5de8\u989d\u8d64\u5b57\u201d\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\u523a\u6fc0\u4e86\u94dc\u4ef7\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u53cd\u5f39<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684 COVID 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