{"id":6916,"date":"2023-06-04T23:49:46","date_gmt":"2023-06-04T23:49:46","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=6916"},"modified":"2023-08-29T18:01:23","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T18:01:23","slug":"future-energy-small-modular-reactors-smrs-nuclear-power","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=6916","title":{"rendered":"\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u672a\u6765\uff1a\u5c0f\u578b\u6a21\u5757\u5316\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\uff08SMRs\uff09\u548c\u6838\u7535"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e00\u4e9b\u9886\u5148\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4e13\u5bb6\u6b63\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5c06\u6838\u7535\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u51c0\u96f6\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u7b54\u6848\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u548c\u65b0\u601d\u7ef4\u9700\u8981\u6210\u4e3a\u6838\u7535\u5728\u672a\u6765\u80fd\u6e90\u65b9\u7a0b\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u66f4\u5927\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>\u82ac\u5170\u4ece\u65b0\u7684\u6838\u7535\u6295\u5165\u4e2d\u53d7\u76ca<\/h2>\n<p>\u5728\u65b0\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u9762\uff0cInternational Energy Agency\uff08IEA\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82ac\u5170\u5c06\u6838\u7535\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5176\u80fd\u6e90\u89c4\u5212\u7684\u5173\u952e\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u56de\u62a5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u636e\u8fd9\u5bb6\u603b\u90e8\u8bbe\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u673a\u6784\u79f0\uff0c\u6838\u7535\u73b0\u5728\u5728\u82ac\u5170\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u95e8\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u7740\u5173\u952e\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u548c\u51cf\u5c11\u80fd\u6e90\u8fdb\u53e3\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b83\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u57282021\u5e74\uff0c\u6838\u7535\u5360\u8be5\u56fd\u603b\u53d1\u7535\u91cf\u768433%\u3002\u5728Olkiluoto 3\u53f7\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\u6700\u8fd1\u5f00\u59cb\u5546\u4e1a\u8fd0\u8425\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e0a\u5347\u523040%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6b27\u6d3215\u5e74\u6765\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u6838\u7535\u7ad9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u81ea\u4eceOlkiluoto 3\u53f7\u6838\u7535\u7ad9\u6700\u8fd1\u542f\u52a8\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u82ac\u5170\u7684\u7535\u4ef7\u5df2\u7ecf\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>IEA\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6838\u80fd\u5f88\u9002\u5408\u82ac\u5170\uff0c\u82ac\u5170\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u76f8\u5bf9\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u91cd\u5de5\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bd2\u51b7\u6c14\u5019\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u9ad8\u4f9b\u6696\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u4eba\u5747\u80fd\u6e90\u6d88\u8017\u7684\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>IEA\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff1a&#8221;\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u80fd\u6e90\u6548\u7387\u6210\u4e3a\u82ac\u5170\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u6c14\u5019\u76ee\u6807\u3001\u964d\u4f4e\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u548c\u63d0\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u6218\u7565\u7684\u5173\u952e\u652f\u67f1\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u7531\u4e8e\u82ac\u5170\u7684\u6838\u7535\u7ad9\u4ee5\u53ca\u751f\u7269\u8d28\u3001\u6c34\u529b\u548c\u98ce\u529b\u53d1\u7535\u7684\u9ad8\u4efd\u989d\uff0c\u82ac\u5170\u5bf9\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u6027\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f88\u4f4e\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>IEA\u6b22\u8fce\u82ac\u5170\u8ba1\u5212\u901a\u8fc7\u4fdd\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6838\u80fd\u4efd\u989d\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u5728\u53d1\u7535\u548c\u4f9b\u70ed\u4e2d\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f7f\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u4ea4\u901a\u7b49\u90e8\u95e8\u7535\u6c14\u5316\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>IEA\u6267\u884c\u4e3b\u4efbFatih Birol\u8bf4\uff1a&#8221;\u82ac\u5170\u52302035\u5e74\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u7684\u96c4\u5fc3\u52c3\u52c3\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u8be5\u56fd\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u9886\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u82ac\u5170\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u6838\u7535\u7ad9\u548c\u6c34\u7535\u65b9\u9762\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8270\u82e6\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u548c\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5b83\u5b8c\u5168\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>SMR\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u5feb\u65b0\u7684\u6838\u7535\u4ea4\u4ed8\u901f\u5ea6<\/h2>\n<p>\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u5206\u6790\u673a\u6784Wood Mackenzie\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5c0f\u578b\u6a21\u5757\u5316\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\uff08SMR\uff09\u7b49\u6210\u672c\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6280\u672f\u53d1\u5c55\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u52a0\u5feb\u65b0\u6838\u7535\u7ad9\u7684\u5f15\u8fdb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Wood Mackenzie\u66fe\u591a\u6b21\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5b83\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6838\u7535\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8131\u78b3\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u6838\u5fc3\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u6839\u636e\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u52302050\u5e74\uff0c\u6838\u7535\u80fd\u529b\u5c06\u6269\u5927\u5230280\u5409\u74e6\u3002\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5168\u7403\u627f\u8bfa\u65b9\u6848\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0e2\u00b0C\u7684\u5347\u6e29\u8def\u5f84\u76f8\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5c06\u6838\u7535\u5bb9\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\u4e24\u500d\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u4f7f\u6838\u7535\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u5171\u540c\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u6838\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f7f\u6838\u7535\u80fd\u591f\u8d1f\u62c5\u5f97\u8d77\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u91cd\u5851\u6838\u7535\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6311\u6218\u662f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u673a\u4f1a\u4e5f\u662f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\uff0c&#8221;\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u5efa\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636eWood Mackenzie\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff0c&#8221;\u6838\u9009\u62e9\uff1a \u5c3d\u7ba1\u6709\u653f\u7b56\u652f\u6301\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u6210\u672c\u662f\u5438\u6536\u66f4\u591a\u6838\u7535\u548c\u5907\u53d7\u63a8\u5d07\u7684\u5c0f\u578b\u6a21\u5757\u5316\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6700\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u969c\u788d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Wood Mackenzie\u8bf4\uff0c\u5c0f\u578b\u6a21\u5757\u5316\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\u88ab\u8bbe\u8ba1\u6210\u6a21\u5757\u5316\u3001\u5de5\u5382\u7ec4\u88c5\u548c\u53ef\u6269\u5c55\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u6709\u671b\u66f4\u5feb\u5730\u8fdb\u5165\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u5efa\u9020\u65f6\u95f4\u4e3a3\u81f35\u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u5efa\u9020\u5927\u578b\u538b\u6c34\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\uff08PWR\uff09\u7684 &#8220;\u94ed\u724c &#8220;\u65f6\u95f4\u5219\u9700\u898110\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_108235\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-108235\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-108235\" src=\"http:\/\/smallcaps-production.test\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Small-modular-reactors-SMRs-pressurised-water-nuclear-power.png\" alt=\"Small modular reactors SMRs pressurised water nuclear power\" width=\"640\" height=\"1071\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-108235\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5c0f\u578b\u6a21\u5757\u5316\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\u548c\u538b\u6c34\u5806\u7684\u533a\u522b\u3002(ANSTO)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>&#8220;\u6838\u5de5\u4e1a\u5982\u679c\u8981\u53c2\u4e0e\u4f4e\u78b3\u7535\u529b\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u589e\u957f\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u7d27\u6025\u5e94\u5bf9\u6210\u672c\u6311\u6218\u3002\u5728\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u5dee\u8ddd\u592a\u5927\uff0c\u6838\u7535\u65e0\u6cd5\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff0c&#8221;Wood Mackenzie\u80fd\u6e90\u8f6c\u578b\u670d\u52a1\u90e8\u4e3b\u4efb\u3001\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u8005David Brown\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Brown\u5148\u751f\u8bf4\uff0c\u6269\u5927SMR\u5e02\u573a\u89c4\u6a21\u5c06\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u6210\u672c\u5982\u4f55\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u4f4e\u78b3\u53d1\u7535\u76f8\u6bd4\u5177\u6709\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636eWood Mackenzie\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u6838\u7535\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5e73\u51c6\u5316\u7535\u529b\u6210\u672c\uff08LCOE\uff09\u81f3\u5c11\u662f\u98ce\u80fd\u548c\u592a\u9633\u80fd\u7684\u56db\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8be5\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u52302030\u5e74\u6210\u672c\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u6bcf\u5146\u74e6\u65f6120\u7f8e\u5143\uff0cSMR\u5c06\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5730\u533a\u4e0e\u6838\u538b\u6c34\u5806\u3001\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u548c\u7164\u70ad\u7ade\u4e89\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b83\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u968f\u7740SMR\u5b9e\u73b0\u89c4\u6a21\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e76\u6539\u5584\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6027\uff0c\u9884\u8ba12040\u5e74\u81f32050\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>CSIRO\u6de1\u5316SMR\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u6f5c\u529b<\/h2>\n<p>\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u79d1\u5b66\u673a\u6784CSIRO\u6700\u8fd1\u4e5f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u5f53\u5730\u5f15\u8fdb\u65b0\u6838\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6210\u672c\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a &#8220;\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u95e8\u7684\u6838\u95ee\u9898 &#8220;\u4e2d\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u79d1\u5b66\u4e0e\u5de5\u4e1a\u7814\u7a76\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u56f4\u7ed5\u7740\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u7535\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u62a5\u544a\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5c0f\u578b\u6a21\u5757\u5316\u53cd\u5e94\u5806\uff08SMR\uff09\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u7279\u70b9\uff0c\u5373\u5b83\u4eec\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u7528\u4e8e\u4f4e\u6392\u653e\u53d1\u7535\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u5b57\u5e76\u4e0d\u6210\u7acb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>CSIRO\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u8bf4\uff1a&#8221;&#8230;&#8230;\u5bf9\u73b0\u6709\u8bc1\u636e\u7684\u5ba1\u67e5\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6838\u7535\u76ee\u524d\u5728\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\u6709\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848&#8211;\u6216\u8005\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u6765\u8003\u8651\u548c\u5728\u6240\u9700\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6846\u67b6\u5185\u8fd0\u884c\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u5173\u4e8eSMR\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u6570\u636e\u8bc1\u660e\u6838\u7535\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8fa9\u8bba\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u88ab\u610f\u89c1\u548c\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\u6240\u4e3b\u5bfc\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5bf9\u57fa\u672c\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u3002&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u53ea\u6709\u4e24\u4e2aSMR\u5728\u8fd0\u884c\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4f4d\u4e8e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u90fd\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u6210\u672c\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u548c\u5ef6\u8fdf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>CSIRO\u80fd\u6e90\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u3001\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u573a\u8fd0\u8425\u5546\uff08AEMO\uff09GenCost\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u8005Paul 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