{"id":80,"date":"2020-03-19T22:31:44","date_gmt":"2020-03-19T22:31:44","guid":{"rendered":"\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=80"},"modified":"2023-08-29T17:44:37","modified_gmt":"2023-08-29T17:44:37","slug":"silver-prices-uncharted-waters-decouple-gold-ratio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smallcapscn.x5view.co\/?p=80","title":{"rendered":"\u94f6\u4ef7\u4e0e\u9ec4\u91d1\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u8131\u94a9"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u5e02\u573a\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u4e00\u4ef6\u771f\u6b63\u4ee4\u4eba\u9707\u60ca\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u2014\u2014\u91d1\u94f6\u6bd4\u7387\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7ebd\u7ea6\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u5468\u56db(\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u65f6\u95f4\u5468\u4e94\u4e0a\u5348)\u6536\u76d8\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8fbe\u5230\u4e861\u6bd4124\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u5b83\u9700\u8981124\u76ce\u53f8\u7684\u94f6\u6765\u8d2d\u4e701\u76ce\u53f8\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u3002\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u8bfb\u6570\u662f1991\u5e742\u670825\u65e5\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u8fbe\u52301:100.8;\u94f6\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u57281942\u5e74\u4e5f\u4e00\u5ea6\u8fbe\u5230100\u3002\u9664\u6b64\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u94f6\u4ef7\u4ece\u672a\u8fbe\u5230\u4e09\u4f4d\u6570\u2014\u2014\u76f4\u5230\u73b0\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b63\u5982\u4e00\u4f4d\u7f8e\u56fd\u8bc4\u8bba\u5458\u672c\u5468\u6240\u6307\u51fa\u7684\uff0c5000\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u767d\u94f6\u5151\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6c47\u7387\u4ece\u672a\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u5230\u5982\u6b64\u5730\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u5176\u5386\u53f2\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0e\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\u662f1:16\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0a\u4e00\u6b21\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6c34\u5e73\u662f\u57281884\u5e74\u3002\u5728\u66f4\u73b0\u4ee3\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u94f6\u4e0e\u9ec4\u91d1\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6700\u9ad8\u66fe\u8fbe\u523090\u76ce\u53f8\u4e0e1\u76ce\u53f8\u3002\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b:\u94f6\u4ef7\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u56e0\u7d20\u5c31\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u9ec4\u91d1\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u66f4\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u907f\u98ce\u6e2f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u60e0\u987f\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e(Wheaton Precious Metals)\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u548c\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u8bc1\u5238\u4ea4\u6613\u6240(Toronto stock exchange)\u5747\u6709\u4e0a\u5e02\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u94f6\u516c\u53f8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b83\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u95ee\u9053\uff0c\u91d1\u94f6\u6bd4\u4f8b\u662f\u5426\u4ecd\u7136\u9002\u7528\u3002\u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6765\u81ea\u8fc7\u53bb\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u201c\u91d1\u878d\u5c0f\u6446\u8bbe\u201d\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4ecd\u7136\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u8d27\u5e01\u4f53\u7cfb\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6307\u6807?\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u624d\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4e3a\u4e89\u593a\u94f6\u5143\u800c\u8fdb\u884c\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e<\/h2>\n

\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u94f6\u8272\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ece1687\u5e74\u52301870\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4ece1:16\u5f00\u59cb\u53d8\u5316\u4e0d\u5927\u3002\u52301912\u5e74\uff0c\u5b83\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e861:30\uff0c\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u4e2d\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5728\u5927\u8427\u6761\u4e2d\u53cd\u5f39\u52301:60\u4ee5\u4e0a(\u4e5f\u8bb8\u5bf9\u90a3\u4e9b\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u8d70\u5411\u4f55\u65b9\u7684\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\u5f88\u91cd\u8981)\u3002\u5b83\u572820\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u5d29\u76d8\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u57281987\u5e74\u5d29\u76d8\u540e\u518d\u6b21\u53cd\u5f39\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e24\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u5fc3\u7075\u4e2d\u90fd\u6df1\u6df1\u5d4c\u7740\u94f6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4ece\u660e\u671d\u52301935\u5e7411\u67084\u65e5\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u91d1\u5c5e\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u5b83\u88ab\u653e\u5f03\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u63a7\u5236\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u767d\u94f6\u6d41\u51fa\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u91d1\u878d\u6df7\u4e71\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u3002\u5f53\u51fa\u73b0\u95ee\u9898\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4f1a\u8f6c\u5411\u767d\u94f6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9020\u5e01\u5382\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u51fa\u552e\u7684\u6700\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce\u7684\u94f6\u9e70\u4e00\u7f8e\u5143\u786c\u5e01\u5df2\u7ecf\u552e\u7f44\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4f3c\u4e4e\u53c8\u56de\u5230\u4e86\u5bf9\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u72c2\u70ed\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u56fd\u9020\u5e01\u5382\u57282\u6708\u4efd\u5356\u51fa\u4e8665\u4e07\u53ea1\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u94f6\u9e70\uff0c\u4f46\u57283\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u593412\u5929\u91cc\uff0c\u5728\u8d27\u67b6\u552e\u7f44\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u5356\u51fa\u4e86157\u4e07\u53ea\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u636e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5404\u5730\u7684\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ea4\u6613\u5546\u5df2\u7ecf\u5356\u6389\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u6240\u6709\u7684\u767d\u94f6\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u573a\u603b\u7edf\u5927\u9009\u4e3b\u8981\u56f4\u7ed5\u767d\u94f6\u5c55\u5f00\u30021896\u5e74\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u60f3\u8981\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u94f6\u90fd\u6210\u4e3a\u6cd5\u5b9a\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u800c\u5171\u548c\u515a(\u6700\u7ec8\u83b7\u80dc)\u53ea\u60f3\u8981\u91d1\u672c\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4efb\u4f55\u5bf9\u767d\u94f6\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u4eba\u90fd\u5bf91979\u5e74\u5f97\u514b\u8428\u65af\u5dde\u5bcc\u4ea7\u77f3\u6cb9\u7684\u4ea8\u7279\u5144\u5f1f(Hunt Brothers)\u5784\u65ad\u767d\u94f6\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5f88\u719f\u6089\u30021979\u5e749\u6708\uff0c\u4ea8\u7279\u5144\u5f1f\u56e4\u79ef\u4e865,500\u4e07\u76ce\u53f8\u767d\u94f6\uff0c\u5360\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u76848%\u3002\u8fd9\u8feb\u4f7f\u94f6\u4ef7\u4ece\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f811\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u6da8\u523050\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u4e70\u5165\u73b0\u8d27\u94f6\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e70\u5165\u4e86\u5de8\u989d\u671f\u8d27\u5408\u7ea6\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u6d8c\u5165\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u767d\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u84b8\u53d1\u3002<\/p>\n

1997\u5e74\uff0c\u6709\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\u6c83\u4f26\u2022\u5df4\u83f2\u7279(Warren Buffett)\u5728\u56e4\u79ef\u767d\u94f6\u3002\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4ed6\u57282006\u5e74\u5151\u73b0\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u5229\u6da6\uff0c\u90a3\u65f6\u767d\u94f6\u5df2\u7ecf\u6062\u590d\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

2019\u5e74\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u98d9\u5347<\/h2>\n

2019\u5e74\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0e\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6bd4\u7387\u4e3a86\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c6\u6708\u4efd\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81300\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f46\u767d\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u65e0\u6cd5\u7a81\u7834\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f815\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e70\u8d26\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u60e0\u987f\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u5e94\u8be5\u5f15\u8d77\u6240\u6709\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11150\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u7387\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u5168\u7403\u8d27\u5e01\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u3002\u5728\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u7387\u4e0b\u964d;\u5f53\u51fa\u73b0\u901a\u7f29\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u7834\u574f\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

“\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9ad8\u70b9\u63d0\u9192\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u8d44\u672c\u666e\u904d\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c”\u8be5\u62a5\u6307\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u6307\u51fa\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u662f\u5728COVID-19\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u7206\u53d1\u4e4b\u524d\u5199\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5927\u8427\u6761(Great Depression)\u548c1987\u5e74\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76d8\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u4f50\u8bc1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ea4\u6613\u5546Kitco metals\u7684\u5168\u7403\u4ea4\u6613\u4e3b\u7ba1Peter Hug\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u5b9e\u7269\u767d\u94f6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8868\u793a:\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9020\u5e01\u5382\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9020\u5e01\u5382\u90fd\u5728\u5206\u914d\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4ea7\u54c1\u5c06\u57284\u81f36\u5468\u5185\u4e0a\u5e02\u2026\u2026\u6ca1\u6709\u5269\u4e0b\u7684\u5b9e\u7269\u53ef\u4f9b\u8d2d\u4e70\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u5c06\u767d\u94f6\u89c6\u4e3a\u5b89\u5168\u907f\u98ce\u6e2f\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u62e5\u62b1\u8865\u5145\u4e86\u4e00\u70b9\u8b66\u544a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u5728Kitco\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u91c7\u8bbf\u4e2d\uff0c\u62e5\u62b1\u5148\u751f\u8bf4\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u94f6\u65e2\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5de5\u4e1a\u91d1\u5c5e\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e(\u7ea655%\u7528\u4e8e\u5de5\u4e1a\u7528\u9014)\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8868\u793a:\u201c\u5982\u679c\u5ffd\u89c6\u4e25\u91cd\u8870\u9000\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f71\u54cd\u2026\u2026\u767d\u94f6\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5de5\u4e1a\u91d1\u5c5e\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u9700\u6c42\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u94f6\u5e94\u8be5\u8868\u73b0\u5f97\u66f4\u50cf\u4e00\u79cd\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e<\/h2>\n

\u5173\u4e8e\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0e\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u70b9\u9700\u8981\u7262\u8bb0\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6765\u81ea\u65b0\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u5dde\u552f\u5229\u662f\u56fe\u7684\u5730\u8d28\u5b66\u5bb6\u7c73\u5947\u00b7\u5bcc\u5c14\u666e(Micky Fulp)\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bcc\u5c14\u666e\u5728\u53bb\u5e7410\u6708\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bc4\u8bba\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u5199\u9053:\u201c\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u707e\u96be\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u666e\u904d\u8fdb\u884c\u56e4\u79ef\u548c\u6295\u673a\uff0c\u4ece\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u6d41\u51fa\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4ed6\u8fd8\u6307\u51fa\uff0c5\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u572880\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e2d\u671f\u975e\u5e38\u53cd\u5e38\uff0c\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5e76\u975e\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4ece\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u89c1\u8fc71\u6bd4124\u3002\u800c\u94f6\u4ef7\u5374\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u52a0\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

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Metals)\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u548c\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u8bc1\u5238\u4ea4\u6613\u6240(Toronto stock exchange)\u5747\u6709\u4e0a\u5e02\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u9ec4\u91d1\u548c\u767d\u94f6\u516c\u53f8\u3002 \u5b83\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u95ee\u9053\uff0c\u91d1\u94f6\u6bd4\u4f8b\u662f\u5426\u4ecd\u7136\u9002\u7528\u3002\u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6765\u81ea\u8fc7\u53bb\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u201c\u91d1\u878d\u5c0f\u6446\u8bbe\u201d\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4ecd\u7136\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u8d27\u5e01\u4f53\u7cfb\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6307\u6807?\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u624d\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7b54\u6848\u3002 \u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4e3a\u4e89\u593a\u94f6\u5143\u800c\u8fdb\u884c\u603b\u7edf\u9009\u4e3e \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u94f6\u8272\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u3002 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Brothers)\u5784\u65ad\u767d\u94f6\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5f88\u719f\u6089\u30021979\u5e749\u6708\uff0c\u4ea8\u7279\u5144\u5f1f\u56e4\u79ef\u4e865,500\u4e07\u76ce\u53f8\u767d\u94f6\uff0c\u5360\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u76848%\u3002\u8fd9\u8feb\u4f7f\u94f6\u4ef7\u4ece\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f811\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u6da8\u523050\u7f8e\u5143\u3002 \u4f46\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u4e70\u5165\u73b0\u8d27\u94f6\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e70\u5165\u4e86\u5de8\u989d\u671f\u8d27\u5408\u7ea6\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u6d8c\u5165\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u767d\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u84b8\u53d1\u3002 1997\u5e74\uff0c\u6709\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\u6c83\u4f26\u2022\u5df4\u83f2\u7279(Warren Buffett)\u5728\u56e4\u79ef\u767d\u94f6\u3002\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u4ed6\u57282006\u5e74\u5151\u73b0\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u5229\u6da6\uff0c\u90a3\u65f6\u767d\u94f6\u5df2\u7ecf\u6062\u590d\u4e86\u3002 2019\u5e74\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u98d9\u5347 2019\u5e74\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e0e\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6bd4\u7387\u4e3a86\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c6\u6708\u4efd\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f81300\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f46\u767d\u94f6\u4ef7\u683c\u65e0\u6cd5\u7a81\u7834\u6bcf\u76ce\u53f815\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5e76\u4e0d\u4e70\u8d26\u767d\u94f6\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u3002 \u60e0\u987f\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u5e94\u8be5\u5f15\u8d77\u6240\u6709\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11150\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u7387\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u5168\u7403\u8d27\u5e01\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u3002\u5728\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u7387\u4e0b\u964d;\u5f53\u51fa\u73b0\u901a\u7f29\u6027\u8d27\u5e01\u7834\u574f\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5347\u3002 “\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9ad8\u70b9\u63d0\u9192\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u8d44\u672c\u666e\u904d\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c”\u8be5\u62a5\u6307\u51fa\u3002 \u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u6307\u51fa\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u662f\u5728COVID-19\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u7206\u53d1\u4e4b\u524d\u5199\u7684\u3002 \u5927\u8427\u6761(Great Depression)\u548c1987\u5e74\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76d8\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u4f50\u8bc1\u3002 \u4f46\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u8d35\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ea4\u6613\u5546Kitco metals\u7684\u5168\u7403\u4ea4\u6613\u4e3b\u7ba1Peter Hug\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u5b9e\u7269\u767d\u94f6\u3002 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